Bills vs Rams Odds & Picks Week 14: Bills Can't Be Stopped

After dismantling the 49ers on Sunday Night Football, the Buffalo Bills have opened as 4.5-point favorites over the Los Angeles Rams for Week 14. 

The Bills are riding a seven-game winning streak across the country, looking to push the Rams back below .500. If Buffalo wants to keep pace with the Chiefs for the AFC's No. 1 seed, they'll need a win this week. I think they're primed to get it, and probably cover too:

Bills vs Rams Odds Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams, Dec. 8, 4:25 pm ET 

As of December 2nd at BetMGM

Bills vs Rams Picks Week 14

Bills -4.5 (-110)

This line seems wonky. The Bills have won seven-straight games, covering at least -4.5 in five of those wins. They've bested teams like the Seahawks and Chiefs, who are both as good or better than the Rams.

Los Angeles, on the other hand, is 2-2 in their last four games, beating only the lowly Patriots and Saints in the last month. When they played a team of similar caliber to the Bills (the Eagles on Nov. 24), Los Angeles lost by 17 points.

The Bills are also much better than the Rams, statistically, ranking 2nd in the NFL in expected wins, point differential, and fourth in EPA (expected points added per play). The Rams don't even rank top-20 in any of those metrics.

I'm locking this bet in on Monday morning, but I expect this one will move toward the Bills as the week goes on. So, snap up a Buffalo bet before it moves past six points.

Bills vs Rams Player Props

Kyren Williams OVER 15.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Kyren is really just a traditional rushing RB. But, the Rams really don't have a change-of-pace back, so he's still the RB option in the passing game when needed. Williams is averaging 12.3 receiving yards in the last six weeks, going over this 15.5-yard mark in three of his last six contests.

Those recent trends may not seem like they lead to an OVER receiving bet this week, but I expect Sean McVay's plan of attack to involve some dumps to Williams. The Bills allow the MOST receptions and second-most receiving yards to opposing RBs, allowing the backs to get open for dump-offs and short yardage plays.

Last week, the Bills allowed three receptions to 49ers RBs (despite the snow) and the week before it was four catches for Chiefs RBs. If Williams can get three or four catches, he can easily get 16 yards.

Bills vs Rams News

The Bills have been winning games despite playing without two key receiving weapons, with WR Keon Coleman and TE Dalton Kincaid both missing the last two games. Buffalo has still put up 65 points in those two contests, but if Josh Allen gets those two weapons back... watch out.

Bills vs Rams Betting Trends

• The Rams are 1-7 in their last eight games against top-10 defenses
• The Rams are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games against top-10 defenses
• The UNDER has hit in five of Buffalo's last seven road games

All NFL betting trends from Outlier Trends: