The Chiefs are on a bit of a slide. They're coming off back-to-back close wins over brutal Raiders and Panthers teams and haven't covered a spread in the last four weeks.
But, the 11-1 Chiefs are still 3.5-point home favorites against the Chargers this week, looking to secure themselves as the best team in football. Kansas City sits at -200 on the moneyline, and that's where I'll be looking for my Week 14 Sunday Night Football best bet:
Chargers vs Chiefs Odds Week 14
Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs, Dec. 8, 8:20 pm ET
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Chargers | +3.5 (-104) | +172 | O 42.5 (-115) |
| KC Chiefs | -3.5 (-118) | -200 | U 42.5 (-105) |
As of December 3rd at BetMGM
Chargers vs Chiefs Picks Week 14
Chiefs Moneyline (-200)
This might be my biggest cop-out pick of the season, as I'm unwilling to take the Chiefs to cover 3.5 points.
I'll start with why I think they'll win, as they've won 11 of 12 games this season, including a seven-point victory over the Chargers earlier this year. They're also getting healthier right now, with Isiah Pacheco back at RB. The Chargers also looked brutal, offensively, last week, scoring just 17 points despite picking off Kirk Cousins four times — Patrick Mahomes isn't gonna hand them four turnovers.
The Chiefs have also won six straight games against the Chargers. They also have a rest advantage in this one, having played last Friday, and Kansas City is 19-3 with a rest edge in the last five seasons.
But, I'm unwilling to take the Chiefs -3.5. For starters, the Chargers covered the last time these teams played. In fact, the Chargers have covered in three of the last five games against the Chiefs.
But, I also just think the Chargers' defense will be able to contain Kansas City in this one. The Chiefs have scored over 21 points in just one of the last four games while the Chargers have held opposing teams to under 20 in four of the last six. With limited scoring expected, I'm unwilling to take the Chiefs on the spread in this one.
Chargers vs Chiefs Player Props
Will Dissly OVER 42.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
After missing practice last week, Will Dissly was active but really not part of the Chargers' game plan against the Falcons. The TE saw just one target and had no receptions. But, I think he gets right back on track this week.
In the six weeks before his Week 13 stinker, Dissly averaged 6.2 targets per game and 48 receiving yards. This week, he faces a Chiefs defense that's allowed easily the most yardage to opposing tight ends (78.5 yards per game).
Chargers vs Chiefs Betting Trends
- The Chargers are 1-8 in their last nine games against top-10 defensemen
- The Chargers are 2-6-1 against the spread in their last nine against top-10 defenses
- The UNDER has hit in 20 of the last 27 Chargers games
- Travis Kelce has gone OVER 63.5 rec yards in four of his last five home games (His O63.5 is -119 at BetMGM this week)
All NFL betting trends from Outlier Trends:
