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The defensive injuries are stacking up for the Lions, but that won’t keep their offense from putting up fireworks against this porous Bears defense. Jahmyr Gibbs has an excellent matchup to exploit as the Bears rank 31st in run defense DVOA. Chicago has allowed 30+ points in both games after dismissing Matt Eberflus - expect Detroit to make it 3 for 3.
It's not in my nature to make moneyline parlays with two big favorites, but it's tough to imagine the Lions or Falcons losing this week.
Both Atlanta and Detroit have huge motivation edges in their games as they fight for playoff seeding both opponents (Giants and Bears) have been struggling mightily in recent weeks.
Bet made at 5:07 pm ET on December 17
The Lions have been deemed the "best team in football" all year, Super Bowl favorites, and the #1 seed, but all of that is in huge jeopardy right now. With so much to play for, I expect that Detroit will remind us who they are at Soldier Field on Sunday and cover the 6.5-point spread.
The Lions are 5-1 ATS on the road and 6-0 outright away from Ford Field. This should be easy work for Dan Campbell’s men.
These teams played on Thanksgiving Day, with the Lions winning 23-20. If you look at the box score, Detroit had a lot of rushing yards and big plays in the running game. David Montgomery is no longer part of that offense. While I still think Detroit will run, pass, score, and kick well enough to avoid a second straight loss, I believe Chicago will hang around and keep it close.
Sunday, December 22 Sun Dec 22
Player Props
Player Props
- Jared Goff(DET) POS: QBPropCompletionsProjection24.3
- Caleb Williams(CHI) POS: QBPropCompletionsProjection20.2
Edge Finder
32.79 | Points Scored | 19.54 |
---|---|---|
260.14 | Passing Yards | 183.15 |
143.71 | Rushing Yards | 105.38 |
32:00 | Time on Field | 30:22 |
65.57 | Number of Plays | 63.69 |
6.16 | Yards Per Play | 4.53 |
Head To Head
DET | Stat Type | CHI |
---|---|---|
5-5 | Record | 5-5 |
5-5 | ATS | 5-5 |
5-5 | O/U | 5-5 |
24.40 | Points Scored | 23.50 |
127.80 | Rush Yds | 149.40 |
34.40 | Pass Attempts | 30.00 |
64.53 | Completion % | 61.33 |
239.60 | Passing Yds | 203.70 |
367.4 | Total Yds | 353.1 |
1.40 | Turnovers | 0.80 |
Team Records
DET | Record | CHI |
---|---|---|
12-2 | All | 4-10 |
6-2 | Home | 4-3 |
6-0 | Away | 0-7 |
9-5 | ATS | 6-6-2 |
4-4 | ATS Home | 5-1-1 |
5-1 | ATS Away | 1-5-1 |
7-6-1 | O/U | 5-9 |
5-3 | O/U Home | 4-3 |
2-3-1 | O/U Away | 1-6 |
Gametime Weather
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Trends
- Detroit are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games.
- Detroit are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games.
- Detroit are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Chicago.
- Detroit are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
- Detroit are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago.
- Detroit are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
- Detroit are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference North division.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games played in December.
Last 10 Games
Date | Opp | Score | SU | Line/Total | ATS | OFF. RUSH | OFF. PASS | OFF. TOTAL | DEF. RUSH | DEF. PASS | DEF. TOTAL | TO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 15, 2024 | BUF | 42-48 | L | -2.5/55.5 | L/O | 48 | 473 | 521 | 197 | 362 | 559 | 1 |
Dec 5, 2024 | GB | 34-31 | W | -3.5/53 | L/O | 111 | 280 | 391 | 99 | 199 | 298 | 0 |
Nov 28, 2024 | CHI | 23-20 | W | -10/48 | L/U | 194 | 211 | 405 | 78 | 223 | 301 | 1 |
Nov 24, 2024 | IND | 24-6 | W | -7/50.5 | W/U | 137 | 253 | 390 | 96 | 172 | 268 | 0 |
Nov 17, 2024 | JAC | 52-6 | W | -13.5/47.5 | W/O | 196 | 449 | 645 | 41 | 129 | 170 | -1 |
Nov 10, 2024 | HOU | 26-23 | W | -4/49 | L/P | 105 | 240 | 345 | 56 | 192 | 248 | 3 |
Nov 3, 2024 | GB | 24-14 | W | -2.5/48.5 | W/U | 124 | 137 | 261 | 138 | 273 | 411 | -1 |
Oct 27, 2024 | TEN | 52-14 | W | -12.5/45.5 | W/O | 164 | 61 | 225 | 158 | 258 | 416 | -4 |
Oct 20, 2024 | MIN | 31-29 | W | +1.5/50 | W/O | 144 | 247 | 391 | 139 | 244 | 383 | 0 |
Oct 13, 2024 | DAL | 47-9 | W | -3.5/53.5 | W/O | 184 | 308 | 492 | 53 | 198 | 251 | -5 |