Falcons vs Broncos Odds Week 11

Falcons vs Broncos Odds & Picks Week 11: Ride with the Broncos at Mile High

Falcons vs Broncos Week 11 NFL odds are live. Each of these teams enters off of a tough divisional loss as Atlanta fell 20-17 in New Orleans, while Denver was undone by a blocked field goal in the waning seconds of a 16-14 loss at Kansas City. 

Check out all the Falcons vs Broncos odds and my best bets: 

Falcons vs Broncos Odds Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Denver Broncos, November 17th, 4:05 pm ET

Falcons vs Broncos Odds
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Atlanta Falcons +2.5 (-110)+112O 44 (-110)
Denver Broncos-2.5 (-110)-132U 44 (-110)

Falcons vs Broncos Week 11 Picks

Broncos -2.5 (-110)

Vance Joseph's Broncos defense is the real deal. Denver sits third in EPA per play, and have allowed just 17.7 points per game this season. The Broncos lead the NFL in yards per play allowed at 4.7 and have surrendered a touchdown on just 44% of opponent trips inside the red zone. 

Raheem Morris' Falcons own a far more efficient offense, as Kirk Cousins has remained effective in Atlanta. However, the Falcons defense is nothing to write home about. With a plethora of front seven injuries and corner Mike Hughes leaving last week's game, Atlanta's depth is being tested. 

Denver has the secondary to hang with Atlanta's talented pass catches. Pat Surtain and company sit third in the NFL in epa per dropback allowed, and will put the clamps on a banged up Drake London and Darnell Mooney.

On top of that, the Broncos physical front seven is allowing 3.7 yards per carry. Their strong play will force the Falcons into unfavorable third-downs and allow their fearsome pass rush to tee off. Denver leads the league in both pass-rush and pass-block win rate. That's a recipe for success. 

Keep in mind, the Broncos are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games at home. They've also covered the spread in five of their last six games this season. Bet on Denver to get the job done and defeat the Falcons in Week 11. 

Check Out The Best NFL Week 11 Promos Here

Falcons vs Broncos Week 11 Props

Audric Estime 60+ rushing yards +124

 

I like Estime to have a big day against a brutal Falcons front seven. Atlanta is allowing 4.5 yards per carry and nearly 130 rushing yards per game. 

Look for Estime to fed early and often on Sunday. 

Falcons vs Broncos Week 11 Betting Trends

  • Atlanta is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 11 games against Atlanta
  • Denver is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
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