Matchups
NFL
Houston
Texans
11 - 7
Kansas City
Chiefs
15 - 2
January 18, 2025, 4:30 PM EST
 | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Expert Picks: Texans vs Chiefs

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4:30 PM ET
See Matchup
Houston VS Kansas City
Chiefs ML
-400

The Texans offensive line will be the worst unit on the field and Chris Jones and Steve Spagnuolo should be able to punish that unit and make C.J. Stroud uncomfortable all day. 

Even before the playoffs started, I was thinking that betting the Chiefs moneyline in the 2nd round would probably be a good bet no matter who they faced. It's tough to imagine an Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes team getting upset at home in their first playoff game. 

Is the -400 moneyline a steep price to pay? Yes. Is there a premium built into this number because of Patrick Mahomes? Yes. I don't care, I'm taking the Chiefs at home to win the game outright. 

Click here to read my full breakdown of the Texans vs. Chiefs game. 

Bet placed at 9:47 am ET on Monday, January 13

Expert Pick: Tony Farmer
McDuffie O2.5 tackles
-170

Chiefs cornerback Trent McDuffie has gone over this number in each of his last six games. Cornerback tackle numbers are often dependent on how often a quarterback tests a cornerback and, with the return of fellow corner Jaylen Watson to the lineup, you have to expect McDuffie to be targeted even more than he has recently.

Click here to read my full breakdown of the Texans vs. Chiefs game. 

Bet placed at 12:34 pm ET on Tuesday, January 14

Expert Pick: Tony Farmer
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
HOU 16.6 +375
KC 27.0 -500
Spread Pick
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
Total Pick
U 42 -110
O 42 -110

Super Bowl LIX 2024-25

Odds Settings
Wager Type
Sides/Totals
Futures
Segment
Full Game
1st Half
2nd Half
1st Quarter
2nd Quarter
3rd Quarter
4th Quarter
Odds Type
American
Decimal
Fractional

Saturday, January 18 Sat Jan 18

Matchup
Opening Odds
OS Current
Line History Matchup
4:30pm EST
Houston HOU
VS /
Kansas City KC
+8
-110
- -
HOU
+400
O 42
-110
- -
-8
-110
- -
KC
-500
U 42
-110
- -
OS Current
+9
-118
- -
HOU
+400
O 41.5
-110
- -
OS Current
-8
-110
- -
KC
-300
U 42
-110
- -

Player Props

Player Props

Filter By Position
  • C.J. Stroud
    (HOU) POS: QB
    Prop
    Completions
    Projection
    20
  • Robert Woods
    (HOU) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Joe Mixon
    (HOU) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • Dare Ogunbowale
    (HOU) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • Dalton Schultz
    (HOU) POS: TE
    Prop
    Projection
  • Nico Collins
    (HOU) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • John Metchie III
    (HOU) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Dameon Pierce
    (HOU) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • Xavier Hutchinson
    (HOU) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Cade Stover
    (HOU) POS: TE
    Prop
    Projection
  • Patrick Mahomes II
    (KC) POS: QB
    Prop
    Completions
    Projection
    21.5
  • DeAndre Hopkins
    (KC) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Travis Kelce
    (KC) POS: TE
    Prop
    Projection
  • Kareem Hunt
    (KC) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster
    (KC) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Samaje Perine
    (KC) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • Justin Watson
    (KC) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Marquise Brown
    (KC) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Noah Gray
    (KC) POS: TE
    Prop
    Projection
  • Peyton Hendershot
    (KC) POS: TE
    Prop
    Projection
  • Nikko Remigio
    (KC) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Xavier Worthy
    (KC) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Carson Steele
    (KC) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection

  • No Props Available

Edge Finder

22.44
 Points Scored
22.65
210.39
 Passing Yards
222.35
115.39
 Rushing Yards
105.29
31:05
 Time on Field
31:06
62.67
 Number of Plays
64.18
5.20
 Yards Per Play
5.11
22.44
 Points Scored
22.65
5.22
 First Quarter
4.12
7.72
 Second Quarter
8.29
4.17
 Third Quarter
3.47
5.33
 Fourth Quarter
6.41
210.39
 Passing Yards
222.35
33.50
 Pass Attempts
35.29
21.06
 Pass Completions
23.76
3.17
 Sacks
2.41
24.83
 Sack Yards
15.65
9.99
 Yards Per Pass
9.36
115.39
 Rushing Yards
105.29
26.00
 Rush Attempts
26.47
4.44
 Yards Per Rush
3.98
0.72
 Interceptions
0.65
0.94
 Fumbles
0.59
0.50
 Fumbles Lost
0.18
1.22
 Total Turnovers
0.82
7.06
 Penalties
5.53
59.28
 Penalty Yards
48.76
31:05
 Time on Field
31:06
62.67
 Number of Plays
64.18
5.20
 Yards Per Play
5.11
4.50
 Punts
3.65
47.32
 Punt Average
48.83
82.39
 Return Yards
70.24

Head To Head

HOU
 Stat Type KC
2-8
 Record
8-2
4-6
 ATS
6-4
7-3
 O/U
7-3
21.40
 Points Scored
29.40
110.80
 Rush Yds
126.00
36.40
 Pass Attempts
34.70
-
 Completion %
-
235.50
 Passing Yds
247.10
346.3
 Total Yds
373.1
1.90
 Turnovers
1.10
HOU
 Stat Type KC
0-3
 Record
3-0
1-2
 ATS
2-1
3-0
 O/U
3-0
21.00
 Points Scored
30.33
98.67
 Rush Yds
159.67
33.33
 Pass Attempts
38.00
-
 Completion %
-
198.00
 Passing Yds
255.67
296.67
 Total Yds
415.33
1.33
 Turnovers
0.67
Dec 21/24 (1 of 10)
HOU
 Stat Type KC
Away
Home
19
 Points Scored
27
+3
 ATS
-3
42.5 o
 O/U
42.5 u
84
 Rush Yds
124
39
 Pass Attempts
41
-
 Completion %
-
227
 Passing Yds
251
311
 Total Yds
375
2
 Turnovers
0
Dec 18/22 (2 of 10)
HOU
 Stat Type KC
Home
Away
24
 Points Scored
30
+14
 ATS
-14
48.5 o
 O/U
48.5 u
94
 Rush Yds
189
29
 Pass Attempts
41
-
 Completion %
-
125
 Passing Yds
313
219
 Total Yds
502
1
 Turnovers
2
Sep 10/20 (3 of 10)
HOU
 Stat Type KC
Away
Home
20
 Points Scored
34
+9.5
 ATS
-9.5
53.5 o
 O/U
53.5 u
118
 Rush Yds
166
32
 Pass Attempts
32
-
 Completion %
-
242
 Passing Yds
203
360
 Total Yds
369
1
 Turnovers
0
Jan 12/20 (4 of 10)
HOU
 Stat Type KC
Away
Home
31
 Points Scored
51
+10
 ATS
-10
50.5 o
 O/U
50.5 u
94
 Rush Yds
118
52
 Pass Attempts
35
-
 Completion %
-
348
 Passing Yds
316
442
 Total Yds
434
1
 Turnovers
1
Oct 13/19 (5 of 10)
HOU
 Stat Type KC
Away
Home
31
 Points Scored
24
+3.5
 ATS
-3.5
54.5 o
 O/U
54.5 u
192
 Rush Yds
53
42
 Pass Attempts
35
-
 Completion %
-
280
 Passing Yds
256
472
 Total Yds
309
3
 Turnovers
2
Oct 8/17 (6 of 10)
HOU
 Stat Type KC
Home
Away
34
 Points Scored
42
+2
 ATS
-2
45 o
 O/U
45 u
144
 Rush Yds
127
31
 Pass Attempts
37
-
 Completion %
-
248
 Passing Yds
323
392
 Total Yds
450
1
 Turnovers
0
Sep 18/16 (7 of 10)
HOU
 Stat Type KC
Home
Away
19
 Points Scored
12
0
 ATS
-0
42 o
 O/U
42 u
97
 Rush Yds
119
33
 Pass Attempts
37
-
 Completion %
-
254
 Passing Yds
172
351
 Total Yds
291
2
 Turnovers
3
Jan 9/16 (8 of 10)
HOU
 Stat Type KC
Home
Away
0
 Points Scored
30
+3
 ATS
-3
39.5 o
 O/U
39.5 u
114
 Rush Yds
141
34
 Pass Attempts
22
-
 Completion %
-
112
 Passing Yds
173
226
 Total Yds
314
5
 Turnovers
1
Sep 13/15 (9 of 10)
HOU
 Stat Type KC
Home
Away
20
 Points Scored
27
+1
 ATS
-1
40.5 o
 O/U
40.5 u
98
 Rush Yds
97
47
 Pass Attempts
33
-
 Completion %
-
298
 Passing Yds
233
396
 Total Yds
330
2
 Turnovers
0
Oct 20/13 (10 of 10)
HOU
 Stat Type KC
Away
Home
16
 Points Scored
17
+6.5
 ATS
-6.5
38.5 o
 O/U
38.5 u
73
 Rush Yds
126
25
 Pass Attempts
34
-
 Completion %
-
221
 Passing Yds
231
294
 Total Yds
357
1
 Turnovers
2

Team Records

HOU
 Record KC
11-7
 All
15-2
6-3
 Home
8-0
5-4
 Away
7-2
8-8-2
 ATS
7-9-1
4-4-1
 ATS Home
3-5
4-4-1
 ATS Away
4-4-1
7-10-1
 O/U
7-10
2-6-1
 O/U Home
4-4
5-4
 O/U Away
3-6
HOU
 Record KC
9-4
 All
10-2
5-2
 Home
6-0
4-2
 Away
4-2
5-7-1
 ATS
4-7-1
3-4
 ATS Home
2-4
2-3-1
 ATS Away
2-3-1
6-7
 O/U
5-7
2-5
 O/U Home
3-3
4-2
 O/U Away
2-4
HOU
 Record KC
5-1
 All
5-1
2-1
 Home
3-0
3-0
 Away
2-1
1-4-1
 ATS
0-5-1
0-3
 ATS Home
0-3
1-1-1
 ATS Away
0-2-1
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0-0
 O/U Home
0-0
0-0
 O/U Away
0-0
HOU
 Record KC
5-5
 All
8-2
2-3
 Home
5-0
3-2
 Away
3-2
5-4-1
 ATS
3-7
3-2
 ATS Home
1-4
2-2-1
 ATS Away
2-3
5-4-1
 O/U
4-6
2-2-1
 O/U Home
2-3
3-2
 O/U Away
2-3

Gametime Weather

No data available.

Trends

  • Houston are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Houston are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Kansas City.
  • Houston are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Kansas City.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
  • Houston are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division.
  • Houston are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in January.
  • Houston are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games played on a Saturday.
  • Kansas City are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games.
  • Kansas City are 18-2 SU in their last 20 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 6 games against Houston.
  • Kansas City are 11-0 SU in their last 11 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston.
  • Kansas City are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference South division.
  • Kansas City are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in January.
  • Kansas City are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Saturday.

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Jan 11, 2025LAC32-12W+2.5/42W/O16826142950211261-1
Jan 5, 2025TEN23-14W+2.5/36.5W/O207167374852293140
Dec 25, 2024BAL2-31L+6.5/47L/U581532112511814321
Dec 21, 2024KC19-27L+3/42.5L/O842273111242513752
Dec 15, 2024MIA20-12W-2.5/46.5W/U7710418152172224-3
Dec 1, 2024JAC23-20W-3/45P/U10821832697276373-1
Nov 24, 2024TEN27-32L-8/40.5L/O40220260132237369-1
Nov 18, 2024DAL34-10W-7/41.5W/O14125039164324388-1
Nov 10, 2024DET23-26L+4/49W/P56192248105240345-3
Oct 31, 2024NYJ13-21L+2.5/43.5L/U1871353221001932930
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Jan 5, 2025DEN0-38L+11/40.5L/U2771981583214790
Dec 25, 2024PIT29-10W-1.5/46W/U69320389202162364-2
Dec 21, 2024HOU27-19W-3/42.5W/O12425137584227311-2
Dec 15, 2024CLE21-7W-4/41W/U132179311139127266-6
Dec 8, 2024LAC19-17W-4.5/43L/U96202298941942880
Nov 29, 2024LV19-17W-13.5/42.5L/U63266329116318434-1
Nov 24, 2024CAR30-27W-10.5/43L/O165226391852493340
Nov 17, 2024BUF21-30L+2.5/47L/O781812591042623661
Nov 10, 2024DEN16-14W-7/42.5L/U57243300781822600
Nov 4, 2024TB30-24W-9/45.5L/O124260384951892841
View Game Logs

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