Patriots vs Vikings: Week 2 Betting Pick
After suffering an ugly loss in their season opener last week the New England Patriots will carry a 10-0 SU run against NFC North teams into this Sunday's matchup against the Minnesota Vikings, who will unexpectedly be playing without star running back Adrian Peterson.
The Patriots were defeated 33-20 by the division-rival Dolphins in Week 1, but they're 3-1 both SU and ATS in their last four games against NFC teams. The Vikings, who beat St. Louis handily in their opener, are just 1-7 both SU and ATS in their last eight games against teams from the AFC East and won't have Peterson to carry the offense on Sunday.
The Patriots have not lost three games in a row since a four-game skid in 2002. They have six two-game losing streaks since that time (we are including their playoff loss from 2013 and Week 1 loss in this calculation) and they have ended the streak by covering the spread five times.
We have seen trends on the web this week bragging about New England’s impressive ATS record after a loss (one outlet had it at 28-10 ATS) but they are just 4-4 ATS the past eight times it has happened. They have also won 10 straight against NFC North teams but are just 6-4 ATS in those games. They are also just 1-6-1 ATS in eight games as road favorites.
For what it’s worth, the Odds Shark Super Computer is using the Patriots at -3 visiting Minnesota, even after we got burned by them in Week 1. FYI, the LVH SuperContest (now called the Sportsbook) had record entries and a record prize pool this year so there is more than $2 million up for grabs.
New England Patriots vs Minnesota Vikings Sportsbook Odds and Betting Line
Odds makers at Sportsbook had the Minnesota Vikings as 4.5-point underdogs in the game, but bet down to -3, while the betting total was sitting at 49 over at Sportsbook.
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Computer Prediction: New England Patriots vs Minnesota Vikings Pick
Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 30-18.9 victory for the Patriots. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
New England Patriots vs Minnesota Vikings Odds and Stats.
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Minnesota Vikings sit at 1-0 (1-0 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the New England Patriots are currently 0-1 (0-1 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Minnesota is 0-1 OU, and New England is 1-0 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Minnesota vs New England injuries news.
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Minnesota Vikings at No. 17 and the New England Patriots at No. 8 heading into this contest.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Last time out for New England, they were a 33-20 loser as they battled the Dolphins on the road. The Patriots failed to cover in the match as a -3.5-point favorite, while 53 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Patriots were Week 1 losers coming out on the wrong end of 33-20 score against Miami.
The Vikings were a 34-6 Sportsbook in their most recent outing on the road against the Rams. They covered the +2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (40) made Sportsbooks of UNDER bettors. Last time we saw the Rams, they had no answer for Cordarrelle Patterson as the Vikings rolled to a 34-6 victory at Edward Jones Dome.
New England Patriots vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Odds Trends
New England is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New England is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 6-11-1 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Minnesota's last 17 games
Next Betting Matchups
New England home to Oakland, Sunday, September 21st
Minnesota at New Orleans, Sunday, September 21st