The long wait is over and now the NFL is back with what is sure to be an action packed 2024-2025 season.
We know you want to lock in some season-long bets to cash in a few months, so we have you covered. Without further ado, here are the best bets for every NFL team this season from Odds Shark experts Tony Farmer, Nick Holz, and Mitch Bannon.
If you enjoy this article, you'll probably also enjoy the episode of THE HUDDLE where our four hosts give you one bet for each NFC team and one bet for each AFC team.
AFC East Best Bets
Buffalo Bills - Josh Allen OVER 12.5 Interceptions (-106)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
Josh Allen is very good, but he also plays a risky game. The Bills QB finished last season with a 3.1% interception rate and 18 total picks.
Why in the world is this O/U line down at 12.5? In his last three seasons, Allen has averaged 15.6 interceptions a year. Now, he doesn’t have a safety blanket like Stefon Diggs. I could see Allen reaching maybe 20 interceptions if the young receiving group struggles early.
Miami Dolphins - To Win Division (+210)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
The Dolphins have posted a winning record in each of the last four seasons, finishing second in the AFC East in three of those campaigns. I think this is the year Mike McDaniel can finally snatch an East crown.
It's less to do with the Dolphins and more to do with the teams around them. The Patriots are awful, the Bills lost a lot of talent this offseason, and the Jets are reliant on a 40-year-old QB coming off a major injury. The Dolphins might be the only AFC East team without major flaws that will derail their 2024-25 season.
New York Jets - Aaron Rodgers Comeback Player of the Year (+200)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
The last time we saw a healthy and motivated Aaron Rodgers, the vet was putting up back-to-back MVP seasons and leading the Packers to 13 wins in 2020 and 2021. I know we haven't seen that Rodgers in two years, and only saw him for a few plays at all last season, but there's a chance he can get back there.
If Rodgers becomes the QB that can finally lead the Jets to the playoffs, he'll have this award (and probably some illicit substances) locked up, and probably free ayahuasca for life.
New England Patriots - Worst Record In NFL (+500)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
The Patriots stink and they have the second-hardest schedule in football. That’s not a great recipe. The Patriots have a new coach, suspect QB situation, one of the worst offensive lines in football, and a league average defense, at best. I really don't see how they're not picking in the
top-three in the draft next year. So, at +500, I'll take them to be the NFL's worst squad. I’d probably still take this bet at like +250 or +300.
AFC North Best Bets
Cleveland Browns - Deshaun Watson Comeback Player of the Year (+4500)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
I know Deshaun Watson has a lot of 'other' stuff surrounding him. But he's got the chance to put together one hell of a bounce-back season. The Browns QB is coming off back-to-back years where he's started just six games, hasn't passed over 1,200 yards, or reached double-digit
touchdowns. If he can get anywhere close to the 2020 Watson that threw for 4,800 yards and 33 touchdowns, this comeback award is his.
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Baltimore Ravens - Nate Wiggins Defensive Rookie of the Year (+3000)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
Nate Wiggins was PFF's highest graded rookie in preseason contests, allowing just eight yards against. He forced three incompletions and allowed just a 39.6 passer rating against. In a pretty shallow defensive rookie class, I think a stud corner like Wiggins could quickly rise to the top.
At +3000 odds, this is a great value play in awards markets to start the season.
The highest-graded first round rookie in Week 1 of the preseason
— PFF (@PFF) August 12, 2024
Nate Wiggins 👀 pic.twitter.com/MbAWqyQwYE
Pittsburgh Steelers - T.J. Watt Defensive Player of the Year (+500)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
How T.J. Watt has only one DPoY Award in his career baffles me. I honestly think Watt was robbed last year, leading the NFL with 19 sacks on top of an interception and three recovered fumbles. If Watt can stay healthy for a full season and repeat that kind of success, the voters won't wrong him again in 2024-25.
Cincinnati Bengals: To Win Division (+165)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
As long as Joe Burrow stays healthy, the Bengals are in a great position to win the AFC North. Cincinnati has won the division the two years where Burrow has played more than 11 games, rocking a 27-15 record over the last three seasons with their QB on the field. I think the adds at offensive line will help keep Burrow upright, which is really all Cincinnati needs to compete in the North.
Also of note, the Bengals have far-and-away the easiest schedule of all the North teams. The Ravens, Steelers, and Browns all have top-five hardest schedules in the league. The Bengals have the eighth-easiest in football.
AFC South Best Bets
Texans UNDER 9.5 Wins (+128)
Pick From: Nick Holz
Listen, I love the play of C.J. Stroud as much as anybody. He appears to have the innate processing ability of the game’s greats. However, the Texans face an uphill battle to double-digit wins this season.
Houston faces a first-place schedule for the first time in forever. Division foes in Indianapolis and Jacksonville have improved, and defensive coordinators have a full season of Stroud’s tape to dissect and find his weaknesses. Teams like the Texans will continue to be everybody’s darlings this season, so I’m ok with making the contrarian play.
Colts OVER 8.5 Wins (+104)
Pick From: Nick Holz
The Colts start out with a brutal schedule, facing the Texans, Packers, Bears and Steelers off the jump. However, after Week 12, Indianapolis has the easiest schedule in the league based off of 2024 win totals.
Anthony Richardson is back and healthy, and while he has his flaws, the Florida product is the most athletic quarterback in the history of the NFL. Shane Steichen is the type of creative offensive mind who will get the very best out of his quarterback. Indianapolis' schedule, combined with their dangerous offense and an improved secondary makes double-digit wins
attainable.
Jaguars To Win AFC South (+270)
Pick From: Nick Holz
Remember, the Jags were 8-3 and runaway favorites to win this division last year before the wheels fell off. Trevor Lawrence is now healthy and with offensive line depth, and Arik Armstead on the defensive line, I feel like this is the year they break through.
Pederson has done wonders for Nick Foles and Carson Wentz and people seem to have forgotten Lawrence is far better. Jacksonville has the league’s 14th-rated strength of schedule, while the Texans first-place
schedule is the 26th toughest. Bet on the Jags to capitalize and regain the AFC South division crown. The +270 price at FanDuel seems more than fair.
Titans UNDER 6.5 Wins (-128)
Pick From: Nick Holz
Will Levis is an interesting prospect, but the Titans lack any semblance of talent around him. First round pick JC Latham shores up what is one of the NFL’s worst offensive lines, but the right side of Dillon Radunz and Nicholas Petit-Frere is brutal.
Outside of Jeffery Simmons, the Titans front seven lacks any top end talent. Leading pass rusher Harold Landry III is always hurt, and Jamal Adams and Quandre Diggs peaked years ago. Moreover, the Titans have the fifth-toughest strength of schedule in the league heading into the season.
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AFC West Best Bets
Chiefs to be 6-0 in AFC West Regular Season Games (+340)
Pick From: Nick Holz
Patrick Mahomes is 30-5 SU against the AFC West in his career. The Chiefs arguably added more talent than any team in the division. Hollywood Brown and Xavier Worthy give Kansas City the speed to open up defenses they’ve missed since the Tyreek Hill trade.
The Chargers lost Keenan Allen and Mike Williams among others. The Raiders lost Josh Jacobs, and the Broncos are starting a rookie quarterback. If you’re looking for a way to back the Chiefs without betting them to win a third straight Super Bowl, look no further.
Chargers UNDER 7.5 wins (+225)
Pick From: Nick Holz
I love Coach Harbaugh. But this Chargers team is devoid of talent.
Greg Roman couldn’t get the best out of the Ravens passing attack and has struggled to modernize his scheme. It’s not 2012, and the simplistic nature of his route combinations is fooling nobody. Many would argue that Herbert is a better downfield passer than Lamar Jackson, if he stays healthy, but the Chargers lack weapons after the departures of Keenan Allen and Mike Williams.
On top of that, Herbert’s already got a plantar fascia issue, and foot injuries tend to linger through a long and grueling NFL season. Their defense is injury prone and another year older, and they haven’t stopped the run in what feels like a decade. There are far more reasons to fade Los Angeles this season than back them, thus we’ll player their alternate win total line at UNDER 7.5.
Raiders - Zamir White UNDER 800.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Pick From: Nick Holz
I have little faith in the performance of White and the Las Vegas Raiders this season. The Raiders don’t have enough talent around White. Their offensive line isn’t great, Gardner Minshew under center scares absolutely nobody, and Davante Adams is a few overthrows away from a trade request. I like the idea of fading the Raiders in every market you can this season.
Broncos - UNDER 5.5 Wins (+116)
Pick From: Nick Holz
All the headlines are about Bo Nix, but the Broncos have done little to improve this off-season.
The offensive line in front of him is less than stellar, and other than Pat Surtain II their defense is one of the NFL’s worst. On top of that, the offense’s Nix orchestrated in college were far different than Sean Payton’s complex NFL scheme. There will be growing pains at Mile High, so I’m fading one of the NFL’s worst rosters.
NFC East Best Bets
Dallas Cowboys - CeeDee Lamb OVER 1325.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
Not only is CeeDee Lamb a big part of Dallas' offense. He IS Dallas' offense. Lamb led football in receptions last year and should do so again this season, with nobody else of note catching balls for the Cowboys. Lamb has gone over 1350 yards in each of the last two seasons (including
1750 last year). As long as he stays healthy, I'd expect Lamb to easily hit this OVER.
Philadelphia Eagles: To Win Super Bowl (+1300)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
The Eagles had some real coaching issues last year, and still finished the season with an 11-6 record. I think the additions of DC Vic Fangio and OC Kellen Moore at the coordinator roles will help Philly get back to the 14-3 type squad we saw in 2022.
Saquon Barkley also has the chance to be a massive game-changer for the rushing attack. The Eagles are my best value pick in Super Bowl odds right now, so I've gotta put this as my best Philly bet for the year.
Washington Commanders: Jayden Daniels Offensive Rookie of the Year (+600)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
I think Caleb Williams is rightfully the ORoY favorite, but this smells like a 2012 situation to me. Andrew Luck was the first overall pick that year, but it was RGIII who ended up winning the Rookie of the Year. Daniels may not rush for 815 yards like RGIII did in his rookie campaign.
But, I think the No. 2 pick has a chance to show out enough as both a passer and scrambler to push Caleb for the rookie award. At +600 odds, I think he's good value.
New York Giants - Malik Nabers UNDER 900.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Pick From: Mitch Bannon
I don't care how talented Nabers is, Giants receivers don't put up these kinds of numbers anymore — especially with Daniel Jones at QB.
No Giants receiver has posted over 800 yards in a season since Odell Beckham Jr. left after the 2018 campaign. Darius Slayton has the most
yards of any Giants receiver in the last four years, at just 751. Heck, only 30 Giants players in franchise history have put up over 900 rec yards in a year.
NFC North Best Bets
Packers - Josh Jacobs OVER 950.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Pick From: Nick Holz
Every year Aaron Jones received at least 200 carries as a member of the Green Bay Packers, he went OVER this number. I believe Jacobs cruises to in and around 230 carries this season, making the 950.5 total at FanDuel an over winner.
He would need to average just 4.15 yards per to surpass this number. He’s averaged 4.2 yards per carry for his career behind an awful Raiders offensive line. I’m willing to be Jacobs far exceeds this number in a Packers offense that projects to be fantastic this season. He could go ballistic this year in Green Bay.
Bears - Chicago to Miss the Playoffs (-112)
Pick From: Nick Holz
I’m fading the Bears whenever possible this season. Caleb Williams will undoubtedly have moments of greatness, causing the betting public to jump all over the Bears. At their playoff and win totals odds, sportsbooks are treating Williams like he is already one of the top-ten passers
in the league. I’m willing to bet 2024 turns into much more of a rocky season than projected for the Bears.
There will be a ton of highlight reel moments, but adjusting to the pro game is easier said than done. In a division with the Lions and Packers as contenders, fading the Bears is the play.
Vikings - Sam Darnold OVER 12.5 Interceptions (+102)
Pick From: Nick Holz
If Sam Darnold remains the Vikings starter throughout this season, he will hit this OVER. The former third-overall pick has thrown 56 interceptions in 56 starts during his career.
With J.J. McCarthy out of commission, the Vikings have little choice but to leave Darnold under center. Capitalize on his incompetence.
Lions - Jared Goff OVER 4025.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Pick From: Nick Holz
Goff has tossed for OVER 4000 passing yards in four of his last six seasons, including over 4,400 in each of the last two. With one of the NFL’s greatest offensive lines in front of him, there’s no reason for that to change.
Detroit plays 14 of their first 15 games indoors in 2024, allowing Goff to remain in perfect conditions and lessening the effects of his smaller hands. He was a dominant force indoors last season, tossing for 7.9 yards per pass with 23 touchdowns and eight interceptions. I love this OVER if Goff can stay healthy.
NFC South Best Bets
New Orleans Saints Derek Carr under 3,425.5 yards (-115)
Pick From: Tony Farmer
This yardage total is set suspiciously low for a QB who has surpassed this total in each of the last nine seasons, but oddsmakers see the writing on the wall.
If the Saints get off to a rough start and the season is in the toilet, New Orleans will want to see what investments Jake Haener and Spencer Rattler have. A Carr benching is one way for this bet to win, but his health failing behind a very shaky offensive line is also another concern. The Saints have some tough teams on the front half of their schedule (Dallas, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Kansas City) so don’t be surprised if they get off to a slow start and fans want Carr on the bench.
Atlanta Falcons Over 9.5 wins (-154)
Pick From: Tony Farmer
I’m fond of this bet, but the strategic move would be to bet it during the season because Atlanta’s schedule is so front loaded with tough opponents. The Falcons begin the year with Steelers, Chiefs, and Eagles and from Week 14 on they finish with the Vikings, Raiders, Giants, Commanders, and Panthers.
While I don’t have faith in Cousins leading the Falcons to the Super Bowl this season, a 10-win season is very realistic considering they have the easiest strength of schedule in the NFL this season. My concerns about Atlanta’s defense were pacified when they acquired Matthew Judon and Justin Simmons this summer.
Carolina Panthers Bryce Young over 3200.5 passing yards (-112)
Pick From: Tony Farmer
Last season was rock bottom for Bryce Young and he still managed 2,877 passing yards. This season he has more weapons (Xavier Legette and Diontae Jonson) and an improved offensive line (Robert Hunt and Damien Lewis). Most importantly, Young will be aided by QB whisperer Dave Canales who helped resurrect the careers of Geno Smith and Baker Mayfield. With a 17 game season, 3200.5 is too low of a bar, even for someone who looked as bad as Young did last season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NO to make the playoffs (-185)
Pick From: Tony Farmer
Last year everything went right for the Buccaneers and they managed to make the playoffs thanks to a tiebreaker over the Saints.
This season, I expect Tampa Bay’s luck to run out and sharing a division with an improved Panthers team and a Falcons squad that added Kirk Cousins will make the season tougher. Baker Mayfield is now without the safety blanket of Dave Canales and this roster has more holes in than people think. The Buccaneers won a playoff game last season and the offensive starters looked good on one preseason drive so I think most fans have a warped perception of how good this team really is.
NFC West Best Bets
San Francisco 49ers - Brock Purdy 4,500+ yards (+800)
Pick From: Tony Farmer
Brock Purdy has never hit this milestone, but he likely would have last season (4,280 yards) if the 49ers didn’t bench him in Week 18 for playoff rest purposes.
This year, with a tough schedule where it’s often facing teams with a significant rest advantage, I don’t think San Francisco will again have the luxury of letting off the gas and running the clock out on the ground in the 4th quarter. Last season the 49ers won 9 games by 16 points or more which artificially deflated Purdy’s passing yard numbers. Furthermore, Purdy’s season last year was after rehabbing a serious injury all summer. With a full offseason under his belt, I expect Purdy to look even more sharp.
Seattle Seahawks: Mike Macdonald COTY (the +1400)
Pick From: Tony Farmer
Seattle’s new head coach is a good bet to win Coach of the Year. Of course, being a new head coach isn’t a prerequisite to win this award, but it helps the optics when a coach improves a team in his first season. Sean McVay (2017), Matt Nagy (2018), Kevin Stefanski (2020), and Brian Daboll (2022) all won this award in their “rookie” season and Mike MacDonald may be next. The Seahawks failure to make the postseason last year will help push the “turnaround” narrative usually required to win this award. Seattle has an explosive offense and MacDonald’s specialty is defense, so if he can fix that mess, he’ll impress voters for this award.
Los Angeles Rams Over 8.5 wins (-162)
Pick From: Tony Farmer
I like this bet, but I’m going to wait until the season begins because the Rams have a tough start to their schedule and I think I can get an even better “buy low” price after their week 6 bye. The Rams have some tough outs to begin the season (Detroit, San Francisco, Chicago, Green Bay) but from Week 7 on they face teams like Arizona, New England, New Orleans, Minnesota, and Las Vegas.
Sure, I have some concerns about this Rams defense, but the offense has too many weapons for Sean McVay to not hit nine wins this year.
Arizona Cardinals - Kyler Murray 4,000+ yards (+380)
Pick From: Tony Farmer
Kyler Murray flirted with this milestone his last fully healthy season (2020) when he racked up 3,971 yards in 16 games. With a 17-game schedule and a lot of factors working in Murray’s favor, it feels like this is really a +380 bet on Murray not getting hurt. Murray should feel comfortable in this offense with weapons like Marvin Harrison Jr., Trey McBride, and Michael Wilson all ready to break out.
It helps that the Cardinals defense is lacking talent which should put Arizona in position to pass more than than they run. It’s also possible that Murray is racking up yardage in “garbage time” when opposing defensive coordinators are playing prevent.
