Saquon Barkley Super Bowl 59 Props Bets

Saquon Barkley Super Bowl 59 Prop Bets: How to Fade Saquon & Win

Saquon Barkley has undoubtedly been the Philadelphia Eagles MVP, if not the NFL MVP this season. On the back of 2,000 rushing yards, the former Penn State star has continued his dominance with 442 yards and five touchdowns already this postseason.

I've perused the odds board and found three Saquon Barkley Super Bowl 59 props to help you profit on Super Bowl Sunday: 

Saquon Barkley Super Bowl 59 First Touchdown Scorer

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles, February 9th, 6:30 pm ET

Saquon Barkley First Touchdown Scorer Odds
PropOdds
Saquon Barkley First Touchdown Scorer+400

Odds as of Janaury 29 at Sportsbook

Using BetMGM's handy second-chance touchdown scorer promo, bettors can capitalize on Saquon to score first in Super Bowl 59. Even if the Chiefs get the ball first and score, and Barkley finds the endzone as the second touchdown scorer, you'll get your wager back at BetMGM. 

Saquon spun his way to the first touchdown in the NFC Championship game, and thus is the favorite in both this market and is a wild -200 anytime touchdown scorer. With his legendary performances throughout the year, the former Penn State star will be a popular pick to win Super Bowl MVP. However, I like the value on Barkley to find the endzone first much better. 

After all, Saquon's scored 12 touchdowns in the Eagles' last 9 games. 

Saquon Barkley UNDER 12.5 Receiving Yards

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Odds
PropOdds
Over 12.5 Receiving Yards-110
Under 12.5 Receiving Yards-118

Odds as of Janaury 29 at Sportsbook

While Saquon has made a monumental impact on the Eagles offense, he's unlikely to be targeted in the passing game in Super Bowl 59. 

Kansas City's defense did an outstanding job coverage opposing running backs this season, limited the position to an NFL-low 22.1 yards per game. 

Barkley has surpassed this number only once in his last eight games. Plus, Kenneth Gainwell has been the Eagles receiving back throughout the year. With Kansas City's defensive gameplan centered on shutting down Saquon, I like the idea of fading his receiving yards in Super Bowl 59. 

Saquon Barkley UNDER 24.5 Longest Rush 

Saquon Barkley Longest Rush Odds
PropOdds
Over 24.5 Longest Rush-110
Under 24.5 Longest Rush-118

Odds as of Janaury 29 at Sportsbook

Kansas City finished the season with their best run defense in years, ranking ninth in rushing DVOA. Steve Spagnuolo's group has contained opposing backs all year, sitting second in the NFL in second-level yards per carry and second in lowest open-field yards per carry.

Remember last year, when the Chiefs much-maligned rushing defense was supposedly set to be gashed by the great Christian McCaffrey? I fear many bettors will forget the lessons learned and simply play all of Saquon's OVERs. That would be a gigantic mistake. 

While I expect Saquon to make his mark on Super Bowl 59, the real value lies in fading his 23.5 longest rush prop. 

Saquon Barkley Super Bowl 59 Props

Saquon Barkley Super Bowl 59 Odds
PropOdds
Rushing Yards Over 114.5 -115/Under 114.5 -115
Anytime Touchdown Scorer-200
2+ Touchdowns+300
3+ Touchdowns+1300
Most Rushing Yards -800
Rushing Attempts Over 21.5 -140/Under 21.5 +105

Odds as of Janaury 29 at Sportsbook

Saquon Barkley Super Bowl 59 Betting Trends

  • Saquon Barkley has exceeded 55.5 1H rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80.0 1H rushing yards/game average)
  • Saquon Barkley has exceeded 22.5 rushing attempts in 4 of his last 5 games (25.2 rushing attempts/game average)
  • Saquon Barkley has failed to exceed 30.5 1Q rush + rec yds in 6 of his last 7 games vs. top 10 defenses for rushing yards allowed (17.1 1Q rush + rec yds/game average)
  • Saquon Barkley has failed to exceed 114.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 7 games vs. top 10 defenses for rushing yards allowed (87.1 rushing yards/game average).

Find more Super Bowl 59 prop bets and statistics at Outlier:

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