When looking at our primetime betting report, there are many NFL primetime betting trends that tend to hold true.
For the NFL's Thursday, Monday, and Sunday Night Football games, some players/coaches perform better and some situations are more advantageous. Here are the best coaches and quarterbacks in primetime games, and some key trends to know.
The current trends below are as of the are from the start of the 2019 season on:
General NFL Primetime Game Betting Trends
| Market | Record | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogs SU | 94-178 SU (34.6%) | -$136.22 |
| Underdogs ATS | 143-125-4 (53.4%) | +$647.68 |
| UNDERs | 161-108-4 (59.9%) | +$3836.51 |
If you're looking for some blind bets for primetime games, you've got options. Underdogs against the spread have been a solid play in recent years, bringing in nearly 7 units of profit. But there's an even bigger fish to target on your TNF, MNF, and SNF wagers:
You Have To Bet Primetime UNDERs
The NFL's hottest betting trend the last few years has been primetime UNDERs. Going below the point total hit at an absurd 60.2% clip over the last six seasons and it hit in nearly 70% of Thursday, Sunday, and Monday Night games in 2023-24. So far this season, UNDERs are 40-37, hitting in 51.9% of games.
It seems almost inexplicable how every team forgets how to score during these primetime affairs. Clearly, there are some scheduling reasons behind these low scores, especially in Thursday Night Football games.
Top NFL Coach In Primetime Games
| NFL Coach | Primetime ATS Record | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Matt LaFleur | 18-9 (66.7%) | +$761.07 |
| Dan Campbell | 6-1 (85.7%) | +$445.46 |
| Sean McVay | 13-8-1 (61.9%) | +$383.34 |
Matt LaFleur needs a new nickname. 'Big Game' Matt has been easily the NFL's best coach in primetime games over the last five seasons. The Packers under LaFleur have covered the spread in 18 primetime contests across those years with more than three units more profit than any other coach.
Funnily enough, the now-former Panthers coach Frank Reich was up there with these primetime savants before he was fired last season. In his time with Carolina and Indy, Reich went 8-1-1 against the spread in primetime affairs, for a +6.3 unit profit.
If he somehow finds a new gig, back Reich for the Thursday Night Football and Monday Night Football games.
Back Josh Allen Under The Bright Lights
| NFL QB | Passing TDs/Game | Passing Yards/Game | Completion % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 2.2 | 250.9 | 68% |
| Aaron Rodgers | 2.2 | 238.4 | 67% |
| Deshaun Watson | 2.0 | 257.6 | 64% |
| Justin Herbert | 1.9 | 270.6 | 66% |
I think it's kind of surprising to see Josh Allen up here because he's certainly had some big-game gaffs before. In my mind, Allen is a great regular-season QB who has had some untimely turnovers during the Bills' primetime and playoff games. But, allegedly he's the best around in those big spots!?
Also worth noting, Jared Goff is a bit of a primetime game king these days. During his time with both the Rams and Lions, Goff's teams are 14-3 against the spread in primetime affairs (+9.7 units of profit). Goff's Lions have played in two primetime games already this season, beating the Seahawks 42-29 in Week 4 and Rams 26-20 in Week 1. Goff is 36/46 passing in those contests, with three touchdowns and one interception.
