When breaking down these Ravens vs Bengals Week 5 odds, I'm expecting a high-scoring contest.
The sportsbooks have the point total set at 50.5 for this AFC North tilt, but I still think these teams can get over that mark.
Let's take a look at the latest Ravens vs Bengals odds and my best bet for this Week 5 matchup.
Ravens vs Bengals Odds Week 5
Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals, Oct. 6, 1:00 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | -2.5 (-115) | -146 | O 50.5 (-110) |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2.5 (-105) | +124 | U 50.5 (-110) |
As of October 1st at Caesars
Ravens vs Bengals Picks Week 5
OVER 50.5 (-110)
This year's Bengals and Ravens play high-scoring football, it's what they do.
Aside from a wonky Week 1 game against the Patriots, the Bengals have been playing in shootouts all season. They've gone OVER 50.5 in each of their last three contests, with an average total score of 60 points. The Ravens have played a lot closer to this 50.5 mark, but still haven't posted a total points UNDER 45 yet this year.
The reasoning for those high scores is clear. Both the Ravens and Bengals rank top-six in the NFL on offensive expected points added. Defensively, they're closer to average.
The history of this matchup also tells us there will be some points this week, as the last two Baltimore vs Cincinnati matchups have gone OVER 50.5. As shown by Outlier betting trends, below, the OVER has also hit in five of Cincinnati's last six games against bottom-10 scoring defenses (which Baltimore currently has).
Ravens vs Bengals Prop Pick
Derrick Henry OVER 78.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
One aspect of Cinci's defense that has really struggled is stopping the run, as the Bengals have allowed the seventh-most rushing yards per game this season (145.5). The advanced metrics back this up, too, as the Bengals have the fifth-worst expected points added per opponent rushing play.
That's going to be a problem against Derrick Henry, with the big man really hitting his stride. Henry has posted over 150 rushing yards in each of his last two games, averaging 7.1 yards per carry the last two weeks. Henry has gone over this 78.5 rushing yards mark in three of four games this year — let's make it five.
Ravens vs Bengals Betting Trends
- The Ravens are 12-3 in their last 15 games as favorites
- The OVER is 5-1 in Cincinnati's last six games against bottom-10 scoring defenses
- The OVER has hit in six of Baltimore's last seven games at Cincinnati
- The Ravens are 4-1 against the spread in their last five against Cinci
