Saints vs Packers Week 16

Saints vs Packers Odds & Picks Week 16: Back the Pack

The New Orleans Saints aim to get back in the win column on Monday Night Football against a dangerous Green Bay Packers team. A monumental 13.5-point spread shows the gulf in class between these two teams heading into Week 16 of the NFL season. The 10-4 Packers look like genuine playoff contenders, while the 5-9 Saints are playing for pride. 

Find all the Saints vs Packers Week 16 odds and my best bets, below. 

Saints vs Packers Odds Week 16

New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers, December 23rd, 8:15 pm ET

 Saints vs Packers Odds
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
New Orleans Saints+13.5 (-110)+610O 42.5 (-105)
Green Bay Packers-13.5 (-110)-900U 42.5 (-115)


Saints vs Packers Week 16 Picks

Packers -13.5

While the spread is a massive 13.5 points, there are a myriad of reasons to back the Packers in Week 16. First off, the Saints are 17th in defensive EPA per play and 16th offensively over the past four weeks. In other words, they're a middle of the pack team by most metrics, with very little left to play for this season. New Orleans is 30th in opponent yards per game (376.6) and yards per rush (4.9) allowed. They've averaged just 288 yards of total offense over the past three weeks, and have struggled mightily without the injured Derek Carr. 

On the other sideline, the Green Bay Packers are rounding into form as a potential playoff sleeper. As usual, Jordan Love has turned it on during Toyotathon. The Packers have won three of their last four games, with the offense leading the charge. They've scored at least 30 points in each contest with Love racking up 872 passing yards and seven touchdowns with no turnovers.

Running back Josh Jacobs is on fire. He's looked unstoppable over the past month while posting 425 total yards and eight touchdowns. He'll thrive against a brutal Saints' front seven. 

Additionally, the Packers defense has totaled 40 sacks on the year. Their ability to get after opposing passers will be key as the Saints trot out rookie Spencer Rattler on Monday night. Rattler has completed just 43% of passes under pressure this season, with a 30.5 PFF grade and 14 sacks taken. Expect to see Jeff Hafley and the Packers get after the rookie passer in Week 16. 

Keep in mind, the Packers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games at home. 

Saints vs Packers Week 16 Props

Jordan Love Over 224.5 Passing Yards -120

Love has exceeded 224.5 passing yards in 11 of his last 13 games at home. The Packers are rolling, and with Romeo Doubs healthy are connecting on everything downfield. The Utah State alum has completed 66-of-88 passes with a 132.4 passer rating over the last four weeks. On top of that, New Orleans has allowed an average of 242.2 passing yards per game this season, and opposing passers have surpassed this number in four of the last six games. 

Saints vs Packers Week 16 Betting Trends

  • New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games
  • New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
  • Green Bay is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
  • Green Bay is 10-2 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against New Orleans
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