The Minnesota Vikings are looking to get back on track against a weak Jacksonville Jaguars team this week. But, the Vikings are just 4.5-point road favorites for this Week 10 contest, at BetMGM — a pretty short line for a 6-2 team.
With the Vikings on a bit of a slide and the Jaguars covering the spread in three-straight games, can Minnesota turn things around and dominate one of the NFL's worst teams?
Vikings vs Jaguars Odds Week 10
Minnesota Vikings vs Jacksonville Jaguars, Nov. 10, 1:00 pm ET
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings | -4.5 (-105) | -215 | O 47.5 (-110) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +4.5 (-115) | +180 | U 47.5 (-110) |
As of November 5th at FanDuel
Vikings vs Jaguars Picks Week 10
Vikings -4.5 (-105)
I think we're overreacting to a few decent Jaguars games. The Jags are 1-2 in their last three contests, covering the spread in all three contests. They beat the Patriots and lost 'close' to the Packers and Eagles.
But, there's still nothing that indicates the spread of this game deserves to be this close. The Vikings rank top-10 in expected wins, point differential, and expected points added per play. The Jaguars rank bottom-10 in football in all of those metrics.
The Vikings may not be fully healthy, but they have all they need in Sam Darnold, Justin Jefferson, and Aaron Jones to beat this Jaguars team.
Vikings vs Jaguars Prop Pick
TJ Hockenson Anytime TD (+210)
TJ Hockenson is back! The Vikings' tight end played his first game of the season last week, seeing four targets and three receptions. It wasn't a huge performance, but it's a good building block for Hock. This is a guy who should be a huge red-zone target for Sam Darnold, as Hockenson has 11 touchdowns over his last two seasons.
I think he's got a good shot to cash his first score of the 2024 campaign this week against the Jaguars' defense. Jacksonville has allowed the second-most touchdowns in football to opposing tight ends this year (Five in nine games) and the Vikings TE has a touchdown in his only career game against Jacksonville.
Vikings vs Jaguars Betting Trends
- The Vikings are 6-2 against the spread in the last eight games
- The UNDER has hit in eight of the Vikings' last 11 games as favorites
- Justin Jefferson has gone over 91.5 receiving yards in four of his last five games against bottom-10 passing defenses (JJ OVER 91.5 rec yards is -119 at FanDuel)
- The Jaguars are 0-8 in their last eight games as underdogs
These betting trends are courtesy of Outlier's NFL Insights:
