It's Tommy DeVito time in New York!
Tommy Cutlets is back at QB for the Giants, but New York is still a five-point underdog against the road Buccaneers for Week 12. Coming off four-straight losses, the Bucs sit at -235 on the moneyline with the point total set at O/U 41.5.
Can DeVito cook up some more magic this week? Or is this the perfect get-right game for the road Bucs?
I'll break down complete Bucs vs Giants Week 12 odds and picks below:
Buccaneers vs Giants Odds Week 12
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Giants, Nov. 24, 1:00 pm ET
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -5 (-115) | -235 | O 41.5 (-112) |
| Giants | +5 (-108) | +190 | U 41.5 (-108) |
As of November 18th at Caesars Sportsbook
I'm using the Caesars lines above, but if you're buying the Tommy DeVito magic, FanDuel probably has better value for you. The Giants are +5.5 at FanDuel and +194 on the moneyline.
Buccaneers vs Giants Picks Week 12
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5 (115)
The Buccaneers are on a slide, losing four-straight games. But, I think it's important to look at who those losses game against: 49ers, Chiefs, Falcons, and Ravens — likely four playoff teams. These New York Giants are certainly not a playoff team. The Bucs have played just one team with four or fewer wins right now, and that was a 51-27 win over the Saints.
These aren't the Daniel Jones Giants either, with Tommy DeVito getting the start at QB this week. After his magical run of three-straight wins at the start of his time as Giants QB last year, DeVito crashed back to earth with 18- and eight-point losses to finish off his 2023. I'd expect a similar result this week.
The Buccaneers are also coming off a bye week in this one, giving the Giants a rest disadvantage this week. In the last three seasons, New York is 3-7 with less rest than the opponent. The only other time this season they had a rest disadvantage NY lost and failed to cover.
Buccaneers vs Giants Prop Pick
Tommy DeVito UNDER 182.5 Passing Yards (-125)
Tommy DeVito had a run of magic last year, winning three-straight games after taking over at QB from Daniel Jones last season. But, I think we overrate how good DeVito actually was. In the seven games he played in last season, the Giants scored over 20 points just three times. DeVito surpassed 182.5 passing yards in just two of those seven games. In the final three games he played last season, the young QB averaged just 130 passing yards per game.
DeVito surpassed 200 passing yards just once last season, and that came against a Commanders defense that allowed the most passing yards in football. The Buccaneers may not be a good passing defense, allowing 282 passing yards per game, but they're not nearly as bad as that Commanders defense last season. I don't think we're getting another DeVito magic game this week.
Buccaneers vs Giants News
A New Giants Offense
As I broke down above, the Giants are going in a new offensive direction this week, with Tommy DeVito in at QB. The scrappy New Jersey gunslinger played seven games for the Giants last year, and New York averaged 17 points per game in those contests.
But, the Giants offense could also change in another way with Darius Slayton potentially returning this week, as he's questionable for Sunday's contest coming back from a concussion. If Slayton returns, DeVito will have a full set of weapons with Tyrone Tracey, Malik Nabers, Wan'Dale Robinson, and Slayton. But, I'm not sure it'll really matter, as I doubt DeVito can do enough to maximize those weapons.
Buccaneers vs Giants Betting Trends
- The UNDER has hit in seven of the Giants' last 10 games as underdogs
- The Buccaneers are 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 road games
- The Giants are 2-6 in their last eight games against bottom-10 defenses
- Tommy DeVito has thrown seven touchdowns in his six career NFL starts
These betting trends are courtesy of Outlier's NFL Insights:
