Week 14 of the NFL season features a battle between two AFC South teams searching for optimism as they look ahead to next season. The Tennessee Titans (3-9) are 3.5-point favorites at FanDuel hosting the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10) as both teams have failed to achieve their goals this year. After Trevor Lawrence suffered a concussion last week, the Jaguars will start Mac Jones this week, while the Titans’ Will Levis hopes to build on recent momentum.
Who will emerge with a win in this AFC South matchup? Let’s dive into the matchup and find out.
Jaguars vs Titans Odds Week 14
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans, Dec. 8, 1:00 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +3.5 (-110) | +160 | O39.5 (-110) |
| Tennessee Titans | -3.5 (-110) | -190 | U39.5 (-110) |
Odds as of Dec. 4 at FanDuel
Jaguars vs Titans Picks - Week 14
Titans Over 21.5 Points (-114) at FanDuel
Don’t look now, but Will Levis is playing solid football lately. Since returning from his injury in Week 10, Levis has thrown for 960 yards with seven touchdowns and two interceptions in four games. Over that span, he’s averaging 8.35 yards per pass attempt, which ranks fourth in the NFL. He’s also shown a willingness to push the ball downfield, ranking fourth in hero throw and second in big-time throw rates.
This matchup presents an opportunity to continue his downfield passing surge against an atrocious Jaguars pass defense. Jacksonville ranks dead last in pass defense DVOA and EPA and has allowed 8.18 adjusted net yards per attempt, the most in the league. Opponents have had consistent success finding explosive plays through the air against the Jaguars this season.
We can also bank on the Titans having success running the ball in this game. Jacksonville’s defense ranks 23rd in adjusted line yards and allows the 12th-most yards before contact per attempt. Tony Pollard has had a great season, ranking third among qualified running backs with 3.54 yards after contact per attempt.
The biggest weakness on the Tennessee offense this season has been the offensive line as they rank just 29th in pass-block win rate. However, this isn’t a particularly scary Jacksonville pass rush - ranking dead last in pass-rush win rate this season. Levis should have a bit more time than usual in the pocket this week.
I don’t love the idea of laying over a field goal with the Titans in this spot, but I’m comfortable banking on their offense finding success in what might be their easiest matchup of the season.
Jaguars vs Titans Betting Trends
- The Jaguars have allowed 284.2 passing yards per game, the most in the NFL
- Will Levis has thrown for 2+ touchdowns in three of his last four games
- Tony Pollard has run for 88+ yards in three of the Titans’ four wins this season
