The "same-game parlay" is a relatively new invention in the NFL betting space -- it takes the classic parlay to a whole other level. Sitting on your couch with your friends watching a football game can become quite an exhilarating experience if you know what you're doing.
Below I'll break down our Conference Championship same-game parlay and some overall strategies for SGP success:
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NFL Same-Game Parlay Results
| Parlay Record | Unit Profit |
| 4-10 | +6.41 Units |
AFC Championship Round Same-Game Parlay - Chiefs vs Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens matchup
| Pick | Odds |
| Ravens -3.5 vs Chiefs | -105 |
| Lamar Jackson Anytime TD (Rushing/Receiving) | +115 |
| Lamar Jackson OVER 62.5 Rushing Yards | -115 |
| Total | +242 |
It's our final same-game parlay before the Super Bowl, so let's take this one seriously.
First, the NFL odds spread pick: Ravens -3.5. I'll get into the specifics of why I think Lamar Jackson is going to be a massive mismatch advantage for Baltimore, but generally, I also think the Ravens are just a better team.
They had the most points for and fewest allowed in the AFC this year, adding up to a +63 better point differential than any other team in the conference. They've also been playing their best football lately, too, The Ravens have covered in six of their last nine games and won their last five contests with something to play for (Week 18 vs Steelers doesn't count).
Now, to why the presumptive NFL MVP is really going to have a day vs the Chiefs. The Chiefs have allowed the 10th most rushing yards to opposing running backs this season (342) and four rushing touchdowns to the position. Against a similarly scrambly QB in Josh Allen last week, the Chiefs allowed 72 yards on the ground and two rushing touchdowns.
While Jackson has been pretty reserved when rushing this season, it looks like he's been unlocked for the playoffs. Against the Texans in the Divisional Round, Jackson racked up 100 ground yards and two scores. The last time the Chiefs and Ravens met (albeit in the early weeks of 2021) Jackson had himself a day on the ground, rushing for 107 yards and two scores.
What Is An NFL Same-Game Parlay?
The basic concept of a same-game parlay is the same as any parlay bet. Combining two or more wagers, you can earn a higher total payout if all of the individual bets win. You can usually combine point spreads, OVER/UNDERs, moneyline bets and sometimes prop bets.
What differentiates a same-game parlay (if the name doesn’t make it obvious) is all the legs of the parlay have to be from the same game. Often, this makes the odds you're getting on the parlay slightly worse, though, as the books have to bake in an added edge when all the bets are from the same event.
How To Create Good Same-Game Parlays
The main takeaway for betting on same-game parlays is understanding the context of your bets. While most single-game bets or even standard multi-game parlays are solely reliant on you doing your research or going with your gut on isolated events, knowing how your parlay can function as a collective result is key for a same-game parlay. It's risky to bet the OVER on one team's point total while also betting on the other team to win.
