With the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ victory over the Green Bay Packers in the NFC championship game, Tom Brady is now preparing for an absurd 10th Super Bowl appearance. That’s right, 18 percent of all Super Bowls have had Brady as one of the quarterbacks.
Of course, we already know that the California native has won six Super Bowl rings, but how did his teams fare against the spread, how’d the total go and how did Brady himself perform in those games? Well, I’m going to take a deeper look into all of the Tom Brady Super Bowl betting trends.
Online sportsbook [Sportsbook not available for your region] has released its Super Bowl 55 odds and has listed the reigning champion Kansas City Chiefs as 3.5-point favorites over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Chiefs are -170 on the moneyline and the total has been set at 56.5 points.
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Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting Trends: Team Performances
Each of Brady’s previous nine appearances came as a member of the New England Patriots, but this year he will be representing the NFC as a Tampa Bay Buccaneer. Looking at Tom Brady’s Super Bowl betting history, his Patriots went 6-3 SU over those nine Super Bowl games, losing only to NFC East teams – the New York Giants (twice) and the Philadelphia Eagles.
Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting Trends: Moneyline and Point Spreads
In the six Super Bowl victories, New England had an average winning margin of 4.8 points with the largest win coming in the most recent championship, a 10-point triumph over the Los Angeles Rams (13-3) to conclude the 2018 season. The first three Super Bowl titles for Brady and the Pats all came courtesy of three-point margins.
Overall, the first Tom Brady Super Bowl betting trend is that he is 6-3 SU and 4-5 ATS. Furthermore, the Patriots were favored in seven of the nine Super Bowls, going 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS as the favorite. In two games as a dog, Brady and the crew went 2-0 SU and ATS. Once again, the Bucs are underdogs to the Chiefs.
| Super Bowl | Opponent | Score | Spread | Game Result | Spread Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Bowl XXXVI | St. Louis | 20-17 | +14 | W | W |
| Super Bowl XXXVIII | Carolina | 32-29 | -7 | W | L |
| Super Bowl XXXIX | Philadelphia | 24-21 | -7 | W | L |
| Super Bowl XLII | New York Giants | 14-17 | -12.5 | L | L |
| Super Bowl XLVI | New York Giants | 17-21 | -2.5 | L | L |
| Super Bowl XLIX | Seattle | 28-24 | +1 | W | W |
| Super Bowl LI | Atlanta | 34-28 | -3 | W | W |
| Super Bowl LII | Philadelphia | 33-41 | -4.5 | L | L |
| Super Bowl LIII | LA Rams | 13-3 | -2.5 | W | W |
Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting History: Totals Betting
If you’re not a spread bettor, perhaps the total will be of more interest. There have been an abundance of points in the recent Brady Super Bowl appearances, with three of the last four resulting in a combined score of 50 or more points. However, Super Bowl 53 saw just 16 total points on the scoreboard.
The highest-scoring Super Bowl over Brady’s nine appearances was in the loss to Philadelphia at Super Bowl 52, a wild 41-33 affair for a total of 74 points. The following year brought the lowest-scoring, in the Pats-Rams matchup.
Overall, the average combined score in Brady’s nine Super Bowls is 46.2 points. That’s 10 points lower than the Super Bowl 55 total of 56.5, which represents the second-highest total Brady has had in his big game history.
| Super Bowl | Opponent | Total | Final Score | Game Result | Total Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Bowl XXXVI | St. Louis | 53 | 20-7 | W | UNDER |
| Super Bowl XXXVIII | Carolina | 38 | 32-29 | W | OVER |
| Super Bowl XXXIX | Philadelphia | 46 | 24-21 | W | UNDER |
| Super Bowl XLII | New York Giants | 54.5 | 14-17 | L | UNDER |
| Super Bowl XLVI | New York Giants | 53.5 | 17-21 | L | UNDER |
| Super Bowl XLIX | Seattle | 47.5 | 28-24 | W | OVER |
| Super Bowl LI | Atlanta | 57.5 | 34-28 | W | OVER |
| Super Bowl LII | Philadelphia | 49 | 33-41 | L | OVER |
| Super Bowl LIII | LA Rams | 55.5 | 13-3 | W | UNDER |
Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting Trends: Individual Stats
With Brady no longer with the Patriots, you have a split among fans that could impact the way you place your bets for Super Bowl 55. Some may be solely New England fans and don’t want to bet on Tampa Bay, while others are just fans of Brady and want him to succeed.
Whatever your betting motivation, there are plenty of individual Super Bowl 55 props that you can bet on No. 12. Here are some Tom Brady Super Bowl betting trends specific to him that may help you handicap those options.
Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting History: Passing Yards, Touchdowns and Completions
Online sportsbook Sportsbook has a big list of Super Bowl 55 player props that you can wager on, and a popular one is OVER/UNDER passing yards for Brady. In his first Super Bowl appearance as a rookie in 2001 at Super Bowl 36, he threw for just 145 yards, the fewest he has had in any of the big games. Brady has thrown for less than 250 yards just one other time while topping the 300-yard mark four times.
His average passing yardage in the big game is 315.3 and for Super Bowl 55, Brady’s O/U passing yard total is set at 301.5 yards with both the OVER and UNDER paying -114.
If you’re looking for an option with a little more juice, total passing touchdowns may be right up your alley. Sportsbook has Brady’s passing touchdowns set at 2.5 with the OVER paying +120 and the UNDER coming back at -156.
In nine Super Bowls, Brady has thrown a total of 18 touchdown passes to six interceptions, averaging two scoring strikes per game while throwing three or more in just three games. So, while a plus-money option might be intriguing, it may not be your best bet.
Lastly, another Super Bowl 55 prop that you can play is pass completions. Going up against the Chiefs, Brady’s pass completion total is set at 24.5 with the OVER and UNDER both holding -114 odds. This may be a good opportunity to hop on an OVER as Brady has surpassed 25 completions in six of the previous nine Super Bowls, averaging 28.4.
| Super Bowl | Opponent | Yards | Completions/Attempts | Touchdowns | Interceptions | QBR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Bowl XXXVI | St. Louis | 145 | 16/27 | 1 | 0 | 86.2 |
| Super Bowl XXXVIII | Carolina | 354 | 32/48 | 3 | 1 | 100.5 |
| Super Bowl XXXIX | Philadelphia | 236 | 23/33 | 2 | 0 | 110.2 |
| Super Bowl XLII | New York Giants | 266 | 29/48 | 1 | 0 | 82.5 |
| Super Bowl XLVI | New York Giants | 276 | 27/41 | 2 | 1 | 91.1 |
| Super Bowl XLIX | Seattle | 328 | 37/50 | 4 | 2 | 101.1 |
| Super Bowl LI | Atlanta | 466 | 43/62 | 2 | 1 | 95.2 |
| Super Bowl LII | Philadelphia | 505 | 28/48 | 3 | 0 | 115.4 |
| Super Bowl LIII | LA Rams | 262 | 21/35 | 0 | 1 | 71.4 |
Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting Trends: Live-betting options
Many sports bettors prefer to make their wagers in-game when they have a better feel for the tempo of the game or are looking to take advantage of a large swing in the odds following a big play. Everyone loves a fourth-quarter comeback and while the Giants did so twice against the Patriots, at Super Bowl 42 and Super Bowl 46, New England also pulled off two fourth-quarter comebacks, at Super Bowl 49 vs Seattle and Super Bowl 51 vs Atlanta.
Tom Brady and the Patriots also had four game-winning drives, scoring the last points of the game to take the lead and win the Super Bowl. Two of those drives resulted in touchdowns and two in field goals. So keep an eye on the odds for the Buccaneers if they are trailing in the fourth quarter because Brady may lead yet another late game-winning drive.
