I'm back with two Anytime Touchdown bets for this weekend's NFL Week 16 slate.
I'm taking two plus money players this week, targeting Bucs RB Bucky Irving and a long-shot tight end pick, with Tennessee's Chig Okonkwo. Check out a breakdown for my Anytime TD below:
Week 16 NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets
| Record | Unit Profit |
|---|---|
| 9-20 | -4.06 |
Bucky Irving Anytime Touchdown (+105)
I’m fading the Cowboys’ defense this week. Dallas has allowed the third-most touchdowns to running backs this season (16 in 14 games).
While you may think Rachaad White is the obvious option to fade Dallas’ running D this week, Bucky Irving is where I’m going with this bet. Bucky has six rushing touchdowns on the year, including three in the last five weeks.
Since Week 5, Bucky Irving has easily the most red zone touches of this Bucs backfield. Irving leads the team with 25 red zone carries (and give touchdowns), compared to White's 13.
Chig Okonkwo Anytime Touchdown (+380)
The Titans TE1 has just two touchdowns on the year, but I love his value at +380 this week.
For starters, Okonkwo us coming off the best game of his career, where he snagged eight receptions and 59 yards against the Bengals last week.
Last week’s breakout makes sense, considering the Bengals are one of the worst defenses in football against tight ends. Lucky for Okonkwo, he faces another terrible TE defense this week in the Colts. Indy has allowed the second-most touchdowns to the position this year and the eighth-most yards.
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Week 16 First Touchdown Scorer Bets
If you want to risk it even a little further, here are the odds for Irving and Okonkowo's first touchdown scorer bets this week at BetMGM, as well as a few other 1st TD wagers I like this week:
- Bucky Irving (TB) 1st TD: +500
- Chig Okonkwo (TEN) 1st TD: +1800
- Trey McBride (ARI) 1st TD: +700
- Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) 1st TD: +260
If you're looking to do your own research for 1st TD scorer picks this week, BetMGM has a breakdown of every first and second TD in every game so far this season.
BetMGM is also, generally, a good place to lock in these first TD scorer picks, because of the book's 'Second Chance Promotion.' It's a promo that offers bettors the chance to win back their stake if a first touchdown scorer doesn't open the game with a TD, but ends up being the second scorer.
How To Understand NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds
The time has come that you finally want to bet on some NFL props instead of sides and totals and you’ve decided on the NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer props. This is a fun choice because props are like games within the game that may or may not have a direct impact on the outcome of the game.
When you go to your online sportsbook to look at NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer odds for our recommended bets, for instance, the odds available to bet on might be presented like this:
Cooper Kupp – Rams +120
Tee Higgins – Bengals +150
Similar to a moneyline bet where favorites would be marked with the minus sign (-) and underdogs with the plus sign (+), the favorite to score a touchdown is a player with the lowest odds, which in this case is Cooper Kupp. Based on Kupp’s implied odds from sportsbooks, he has a 45.45 percent chance to score a touchdown.
Let’s say you think Tee Higgins will score a touchdown in this game. In order to make $100 in profit, you would need to bet $66.67. If you make that bet and Higgins scores, your $66.67 original bet is returned and you win $100 in profit.
On the flip side, part of the allure of NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer wagers is the big paydays you could receive for being right and picking a player who doesn’t score as often as Kupp or Higgins. In this case, you decide to bet on the Bengals’ Joe Burrow at +500.
If you bet $100 on Burrow and he finds the end zone in the game, you would get $600 returned to you. Your original $100 bet is refunded and the sportsbook will give you $500 in profit for your winning bet. If you’re unsure about potential payouts for certain betting odds, try out Odds Shark’s odds calculator to do the math for you and show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount wagered.
