We've got Game 4 of the World Series tonight, and the Yankees are -145 favorites at BetMGM. The books think New York can stave off elimination but what does the public think?
According to BetMGM's betting data, the public is all over the Dodgers (+120) to finish this World Series off, but the sharps disagree, with 59% of the handle on New York. We've also got betting props data for tonight's game, with the most popular wager being Freddie Freeman to hit another homer at +625.
Below, I'll highlight where the betting action is for this Dodgers vs Yankees World Series Game 4, and what we can learn from the handle:
Dodgers vs Yankees Game 4 Betting Handle
Dodgers vs Yankees, Oct. 29, 8:08 pm ET
| Team | Odds | % Bets | % Handle | Total | % Bets | % Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Dodgers | +120 | 61% | 31% | O8.5 | 61% | 60% |
| NY Yankees | -145 | 39% | 59% | U8.5 | 39% | 40% |
Betting Handle per BetMGM
The public, in terms of total bets, is all over the Dodgers in this Game 4, as 61% of all wagers, so far, have come in on Los Angeles. It's easy to see why the public likes LA so much as the Dodgers have won four straight games, including every game of the World Series so far. They've looked like the far better team compared to New York, with great pitching performances from Jack Flaherty, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Walker Buehler.
But, the smart money isn't buying up Los Angeles, with 59% of the cash on the Yankees moneyline tonight — that's a big split between total bets and the handle. I'm sure the sharps are betting on a few things here, including the fact that New York's back is against the wall and NEED a win tonight. But, the big key for Yankees betters here is Los Angeles' pitching situation. The Dodgers are trotting out a bullpen game for Game 4 after using six different relievers in last night's game. They're going to have to use tired arms in this contest, giving New York's bats an opportunity to finally wake up.
If the moneyline wagers don't appeal to you for World Series Game 4, BetMGM has also given the most-bet props for Dodgers vs Yankees, in terms of total tickets:
Five Most Bet Dodgers vs Yankees Player Props
- Freddie Freeman OVER 0.5 homers (+625)
- Juan Soto OVER 0.5 home runs (+300)
- Aaron Judge OVER 0.5 home runs (+225)
- Tommy Edman OVER 0.5 home runs (+1300)
- Mookie Betts OVER 0.5 home runs (+550)
The people love Freddie Freeman home runs. Per BetMGM, 99% of all bets on Freeman's O/U 0.5 homer line for tonight's game are on the OVER and it doesn't take a genius to see why. Freeman has a dinger in every single World Series game this year, and five straight WS contests dating back to 2021.
I usually turn to batter vs pitcher data for my homer props, but there isn't much to go on for this contest, with the Dodgers sending out the bullpen and rookie SP Luis Gil going for the Yankees. The only active Dodger who has homered off Gil is Teoscar Hernandez, who is two-for-five with a dinger against the rook. Teo isn't one of the most bet homer props tonight, but you can get him at +500 at BetMGM.
World Series MVP Betting Handle
This World Series MVP betting data contains all MVP bets during and before the series. We've seen the lines move a lot during the series, with Freddie Freeman going from +2500 to -1600 in World Series MVP odds in the first three games — the books think he's basically a lock. But, of all the bets placed in this market during the World Series, Shohei Ohtani is still the clear leader in ticket percentage and handle:
Highest Ticket %:
- Shohei Ohtani (17.5%)
- Juan Soto (8.5%)
- Aaron Judge (8.3%)
Highest Handle %:
- Shohei Ohtani (24.3%)
- Freddie Freeman (9.9%)
- Juan Soto (8.8%)
