Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys enter the 2024 NFL season at a crossroads. Massive decisions loom for America's Team. With the season about to kick off, all eyes are on Jerry Jones and whether he's willing to open up his checkbook and reset the market for stars CeeDee Lamb, Prescott and Micah Parsons. Cowboys fans from Arlington to Alaska are anxiously waiting for Jones to make the bold moves necessary to keep the team's core intact and push for a Super Bowl run. Odds Shark's 2024 Dallas Cowboys season betting preview dives into all the odds, key storylines and what to expect from America's Team in 2024.
2024 Dallas Cowboys Super Bowl & NFC Odds
| Super Bowl Odds | NFC Championship Odds | NFC East Odds |
|---|---|---|
| +1800 | +800 | +175 |
Odds as of August 19
Dallas' +1800 Super Bowl odds have more to do with the fact that their fanbase will bet on the Boys' no matter what. But, much like Toronto Maple Leafs fans in hockey, they'll more than likely be disappointed come playoff time. I wouldn't bet on the Cowboys to win the Super Bowl with your money, and neither should you.
In the history of the NFL, there are precious few players who sit out training camp and most of the off-season program and benefit from it. I'm all for chasing the bag, but CeeDee Lamb is likely to come out of the gate slow in 2024, if and when Jerry finally signs his star receiver.
When dissecting the Cowboys offense, there's very little to get excited about after #88. Dallas traded their 2024 4th-round pick for backup quarterback Trey Lance, who's likely to start the season third on the depth chart. That hurt their ability to acquire a running back in this year's draft, and as such the Cowboys enter the season with Rico Dowdle and the carcass of Ezekiel Elliott in the backfield. Their offensive line is younger, but definitely not better than the once-vaunted Smith-Frederick-Martin days, and outside of Lamb defenses' have few receiving threats to account for.
For all those reasons, I'll pass on the Cowboys NFC Championship or NFC East odds as well. There's far too much that can (and likely will) go wrong in Arlington this season to pull the trigger at these odds.
2024 Dallas Cowboys Win Total Odds
| 2024 Win Total | OVER | UNDER | 2023 Record SU | 2023 Record ATS | 2023 O/U Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | -144 | +118 | 12-6 | 10-8 | 10-8 |
Odds as of August 19
While they were just 10-8 ATS overall, Dallas went a phenomenal 10-4 ATS as a favorite last season.
Mike McCarthy understands how to win football games, and is probably a better coach than many Cowboys fans give him credit for. It's easy to envision things in Arlington going south quickly. However, Dallas has finished 12-5 in three straight seasons, and have suffered just one losing season (2020 when Prescott was hurt) with McCarthy at the helm. I'm betting that the Cowboys talented defensive core can lead them to at least 10 wins in 2024, even at a juiced -144.
2024 Dallas Cowboys Playoff Odds
| To Make Playoffs | To Miss Playoffs |
|---|---|
| -215 | +168 |
Odds as of August 19
The Cowboys -215 odds to make the playoffs imply a 68.25% chance according to our odds calculator. These odds are juiced because yet again, everybody likes to bet on that bright blue star.
Remember, Dallas has made the postseason in three straight years, the problem is their performance once they get there. Hold off on betting the Cowboys to make the playoffs for now, as early season stumbles against the Ravens, Steelers, Lions or 49ers are likely to make those odds drop.
2024 Dallas Cowboys NFL MVP Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | +2000 |
| CeeDee Lamb | +15000 |
| Micah Parsons | +20000 |
Odds as of August 19
A favorable late season schedule is very likely to buoy Dak Prescott's NFL MVP chances. Of Dallas' last seven matchups, only the Eagles and Buccaneers made the 2023 postseason, and they get to play the Bucs at home. Remember, the only other season in which Dak lacked any semblance of a running game was 2020, when he started the season on an absolute tear.
Prescott threw for 1856 yards and nine touchdowns (he ran for three more) through the first six games of that season, before an awful ankle injury derailed what was likely to be a momentous campaign. Those totals project to 5,252 yards and 34 total touchdowns across a 17-game season. Playing in the NFL's biggest market, with press jumping all over every game highlight hardly hurts his case. If you can find Prescott at +2000 or higher to win NFL MVP throw a half-unit on it. A shot in the dark never hurt anybody, and the former 4th-round pick has shone in the regular season throughout his career.
Lamb and Parsons are far more likely to contend for the NFL Offensive Player of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year trophies, so I'll pass for now.
