It's time to break down Jaguars vs Bears odds for Week 6's London game.
The sportsbooks have the Bears as slight favorites for Sunday's early game. Both Chicago and Jacksonville head to England off of wins, with the Jags getting their first W of the season in Week 5.
Let's take a look at the latest Jaguars vs Bears odds and my best bets for this Week 6 matchup:
Jaguars vs Bears Odds Week 6
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Chicago Bears, Oct. 13, 9:30 am ET
| Team | Runline | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +1.5 (-105) | +110 | O 43.5 (-105) |
| Chicago Bears | -1.5 (-115) | -130 | U 43.5 (-115) |
As of October 7th at FanDuel
Jaguars vs Bears Picks Week 6
Bears -1.5 (-115)
This line is an easy bet for me. The Bears are coming off back-to-back wins, by a total of 32 points. The Jaguars, on the other hand, barely beat a Colts team without Anthony Richardson at QB, for their first W of the season.
According to the actual standings, expected wins, and net expected points added, the Jags are a clear bottom-five team in football. The Bears aren't particularly special, ranking out about average in all three metrics. But, that's certainly a big enough difference to warrant a line larger than -1.5. Maybe the books are giving the Jags an edge because they're so used to flying to London? I still think they're going to get smoked.
The Bears are also 8-2-2 against the spread in their last 12 games, as shown by Outlier betting trends below.
Jaguars vs Bears Prop Pick
DJ Moore OVER 57.5 Yards (-120)
Moore has gone over this 57.5 yard mark in two of his last three games, and eight of 12 dating back to 2023.
Moore is easily Caleb Williams' most targeted receiver, seeing 11 more pass attempts than any other Bears receiver this season. I think DJ has a chance to pop off even more than usual this week, though, as he faces one of the worst passing defenses in football.
The Jaguars allow the most passing yards in the league (287 per game). More specifically, they've let up the most yards to receivers like Moore (and the second-most WR receptions). The Jags have allowed an average of 210.4 yards to opposing wide receivers per game. That's more receiving yards than 17 teams have allowed to any position.
Jaguars vs Bears Betting Trends
- The Bears are 8-2-2 in their last 12 games
- The Bears are 8-0 in their last 10 home games (technically home team this week)
- The UNDER has hit in 10 of Chicago's last 15 games
- DJ Moore has gone over 57.5 receiving yards in five-straight games against bottom-10 passing defenses
