It feels like this Ravens vs Steelers battle has been building all season, and now it's finally here. Both Baltimore and Pittsburgh have been amazing this season, but it's the Ravens that enter as 3.5-point road favorites over the Steelers.
Despite sitting just behind in the AFC North standings, the Ravens are -176 on the moneyline. The point total has been set at O/U 48.5.
I'll break down the complete Ravens vs Steelers odds and picks below:
Ravens vs Steelers Odds Week 11
Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers, Nov. 17, 1:00 pm ET
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | -3.5 (-104) | -176 | O 48.5 (-106) |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +3.5 (-118) | +148 | U 48.5 (-114) |
As of November 12th at Fanduel
Ravens vs Steelers Picks Week 11
Steelers +3.5 (-118)
Pittsburgh has covered a +3.5-point spread in every single game this year. The Steelers are 7-2, but both losses were by three points each time. There are obvious flaws with this Steelers team, with an inconsistent passing attack and soft schedule inflating public perception. But, I still think 3.5 points is hard to give to a 7-2 team like this.
The Steelers and Ravens are neck-and-neck in point differential, expected points added, and expected record this season. So, I'll take the home underdogs with all things pointing to a close contest.
I do still think Baltimore should win this game, I just think 3.5 points is too many to bet against Pittsburgh. So, if you want to be a real sicko, you can parlay the Steelers to cover +3.5 and the Ravens to still eke out a moneyline win at +508 (at FanDuel).
Ravens vs Steelers Prop Pick
Najee Harris UNDER 57.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
If you just look at Najee Harris' recent run of games, you'd be shocked to hear I'm fading him. The Steelers RB has averaged 94 yards per game in the last four weeks.
But, there's reason to be skeptical this will continue. For starters, backup RB Jaylen Warren is finally healthy and starting to eat into Harris' carries in recent weeks, seeing 14 carries last week and 35 over the last three contests.
Plus, no running back has had any success against this Baltimore defensive line. The Ravens have allowed the second-fewest rushing yards in football this season, allowing just 568 in 10 contests.
Ravens vs Steelers Betting Trends
- The Ravens are 8-2 in their last 10 road games
- The UNDER has hit in six of the last nine Steelers games against bottom-10 defenses
- The Ravens are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight road games
- Lamar Jackson has gone OVER 42.5 rushing yards in seven straight road games (his O42.5 rush yards is -119 at Caesars)
These betting trends are courtesy of Outlier's NFL Insights:
