We've reached the NFL's Championship Weekend, so it's a great time to toss some Anytime Touchdown props out there for the big games.
This week I'm honing in on two of the best rushers in football, Eagles running back Saquon Barkley and Bills QB Josh Allen. The two stars totalled for 27 total touchdowns this regular season and have both already scored in the playoffs.
I think they're good bets to cash again this weekend:
Championship Weekend NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets
| Game Type | Record | Unit Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 10-21 | -3.61 |
| Playoffs | 2-2 | +1.10 |
Saquon Barkley Anytime Touchdown (-240)
These -240 odds might not seem like great value, but Saquon is as safe of a touchdown bet as there is in the NFL. The Eagles RB1 has nine touchdowns in his last nine games, scoring 17 total touchdowns in his 18 regular season and postseason contests this year.
This week, Barkley faces a Washington defense that was one of the worst in football against running backs this year. The Commanders allowed the sixth-most rushing TDs to RBs this regular season (16 in 17 games).
The Commanders have also allowed touchdowns to running backs in both of their two playoff games so far this season, with three RB scores in total. Last week, Jahmyr Gibbs scored twice against the Commies and I think Saquon is built to put up a similar day in the NFC Championship Game. In two games against Washington in the regular season, Barkley scored four times.
Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown (+110)
Josh Allen is the Buffalo goal-line running back. The QB has 11 touchdowns in his last nine starts, incuding two against the Ravens last week.
Josh Allen had 18 rushing attempts inside the five-yard line this season, scoring 11 touchdowns on those carries. That's seven more carries than James Cook, and more than Buffalo's entire running back room combined.
So, if the Bills get anywhere near the end zone against the Chiefs, expect Allen to get the ball. The Chiefs allowed the eighth-most rushing touchdowns to opposing QBs this season, too, so Allen's a safe bet to cash in.
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Championship Weekend First Touchdown Scorer Bets
If you want to risk it even a little further, here are the odds for Allen and Barkley's first touchdown scorer bets this week at BetMGM, as well as a few other 1st TD wagers I like this week:
- Josh Allen (BUF) 1st TD: +650
- Saquon Barkley (PHI) 1st TD: +320
- Travis Kelce (KC) 1st TD: +900
- Dalton Kincaid (BUF) 1st TD: +1800
If you're looking to do your own research for 1st TD scorer picks this week, BetMGM has a breakdown of every first and second TD in every game so far this season.
BetMGM is also, generally, a good place to lock in these first TD scorer picks, because of the book's 'Second Chance Promotion.' It's a promo that offers bettors the chance to win back their stake if a first touchdown scorer doesn't open the game with a TD, but ends up being the second scorer.
How To Understand NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds
The time has come that you finally want to bet on some NFL props instead of sides and totals and you’ve decided on the NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer props. This is a fun choice because props are like games within the game that may or may not have a direct impact on the outcome of the game.
When you go to your online sportsbook to look at NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer odds for our recommended bets, for instance, the odds available to bet on might be presented like this:
Cooper Kupp – Rams +120
Tee Higgins – Bengals +150
Similar to a moneyline bet where favorites would be marked with the minus sign (-) and underdogs with the plus sign (+), the favorite to score a touchdown is a player with the lowest odds, which in this case is Cooper Kupp. Based on Kupp’s implied odds from sportsbooks, he has a 45.45 percent chance to score a touchdown.
Let’s say you think Tee Higgins will score a touchdown in this game. In order to make $100 in profit, you would need to bet $66.67. If you make that bet and Higgins scores, your $66.67 original bet is returned and you win $100 in profit.
On the flip side, part of the allure of NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer wagers is the big paydays you could receive for being right and picking a player who doesn’t score as often as Kupp or Higgins. In this case, you decide to bet on the Bengals’ Joe Burrow at +500.
If you bet $100 on Burrow and he finds the end zone in the game, you would get $600 returned to you. Your original $100 bet is refunded and the sportsbook will give you $500 in profit for your winning bet. If you’re unsure about potential payouts for certain betting odds, try out Odds Shark’s odds calculator to do the math for you and show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount wagered.
