I'm back with two Anytime Touchdown bets for this weekend's NFL's Week 13 slate.
After the Thursday and Friday contests, let's make some more bread on the weekend touchdowns. I've got two reliable options as my picks this week, taking Bills RB James Cook (-145) and breakout Bucs TE Cade Otton (+145):
Week 13 NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets
| Record | Unit Profit |
|---|---|
| 7-16 | -2.40 |
James Cook Anytime Touchdown (-145)
James Cook is an absolute touchdown beast. The Bills RB has 11 touchdowns in 10 games this season (cashing his anytime TD line in seven of 10 contests). In his last four games, he's got five touchdowns.
So, just going off trends this -145 line (which implies a 59.18% chance) is decent value. But, Cook's matchup this weak is much softer than usual. The Bills face a 49ers defense that's really struggled against the run this year. San Francisco has allowed the third-most touchdowns to opposing running backs. The opposing RB1 has scored against the 49ers in each of the last three games, with Josh Jacobs finding the end zone three times last week.
Cade Otton Anytime Touchdown (+145)
Cade Otton has been a beast lately, seeing at least eight targets in four of his last five games and cashing three touchdowns in that stretch. He had a down week last week, catching just one pass, but that came against a Giants defense that has locked down tight ends all season. New York has allowed the third-fewest yards and fewest touchdowns to opposing TEs.
This week, though, Otton draws a much softer matchup. The Carolina Panthers have allowed the third-most yardage and most touchdowns (nine) to TEs this season. With Otton drawing that easy competition, I expect him to return to a key role in Tampa Bay's passing attack.
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Week 13 First Touchdown Scorer Bets
If you want to risk it even a little further, here are the odds for Cook and Otton's first touchdown scorer bets this week at BetMGM, as well as a few other 1st TD wagers I like this week:
- James Cook (BUF) 1st TD: +400
- Cade Otton (TAM) 1st TD: +750
- Joe Mixon (HOU) 1st TD: +300
- AJ Brown (PHI) 1st TD: +800
Anytime TD scorer bets are a hot bet in 2024, with the market up 76% this season, per BetMGM's statistics, and a lot more users are looking for the increased payout of a 1st TD scorer bet, too. These bets are a bit harder to nail, but come with significantly increased odds compared to an anytime wager.
A large reason for this increase in 1st TD bets is BetMGM's 'Second Chance Promotion,' which offers bettors the chance to win back their stake if a first touchdown scorer doesn't open the game with a TD, but ends up being the second scorer. So if you're going to place one of these first touchdown bets this week, or at any point this season, be sure to do so over at BetMGM.
How To Understand NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds
The time has come that you finally want to bet on some NFL props instead of sides and totals and you’ve decided on the NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer props. This is a fun choice because props are like games within the game that may or may not have a direct impact on the outcome of the game.
When you go to your online sportsbook to look at NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer odds for our recommended bets, for instance, the odds available to bet on might be presented like this:
Cooper Kupp – Rams +120
Tee Higgins – Bengals +150
Similar to a moneyline bet where favorites would be marked with the minus sign (-) and underdogs with the plus sign (+), the favorite to score a touchdown is a player with the lowest odds, which in this case is Cooper Kupp. Based on Kupp’s implied odds from sportsbooks, he has a 45.45 percent chance to score a touchdown.
Let’s say you think Tee Higgins will score a touchdown in this game. In order to make $100 in profit, you would need to bet $66.67. If you make that bet and Higgins scores, your $66.67 original bet is returned and you win $100 in profit.
On the flip side, part of the allure of NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer wagers is the big paydays you could receive for being right and picking a player who doesn’t score as often as Kupp or Higgins. In this case, you decide to bet on the Bengals’ Joe Burrow at +500.
If you bet $100 on Burrow and he finds the end zone in the game, you would get $600 returned to you. Your original $100 bet is refunded and the sportsbook will give you $500 in profit for your winning bet. If you’re unsure about potential payouts for certain betting odds, try out Odds Shark’s odds calculator to do the math for you and show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount wagered.
