Let's break down some 2025 Super Bowl odds with the NFL regular season in full swing.
The Detroit Lions are the new leaders in the clubhouse. After the Chiefs fell to the Bills in Week 11, the Lions' easy win over the Jaguars catapulted them into the top spot on odds boards. The Lions have the shortest odds (+425) to win it all and the Chiefs have the second shortest odds (+475).
The Lions have the highest ticket % (16.1%) and handle % (17.9%) to win the Super Bowl per BetMGM, with the Chiefs owning the second highest ticket (12.9%) and handle (14.6%) percentage. The Ravens are third with 8.1% of Super Bowl tickets and 10.6% of the Super Bowl handle.
Here's a complete breakdown of updated 2025 Super Bowl odds and some value picks:
Who Is Favored To Win Super Bowl 59?
The Detroit Lions (+425) remain in the top spots for Super Bowl 59 odds, and the Kansas City Chiefs are lurking right behind them at +475. The Bills (+600) and Ravens (+650) are lurking just behind them.
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | +300 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +450 |
| Buffalo Bills | +650 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +700 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +750 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +1600 |
| Green Bay Packers | +1800 |
| Houston Texans | +2200 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +2200 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +2200 |
Odds as of November 22nd, 2024 03:02am EST. |
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Super Bowl Odds Movement
A variety of things can cause Super Bowl odds movement, including injuries, team performance, or transactions. If you look at 2025 Super Bowl odds now, you'll see movement for teams like the Commanders and Bengals:
Rising: Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh has picked up back-to-back wins vs. playoff teams and has gone from +3300 two weeks ago to +2500 last week and now +2200 this week.
The Steelers are scorching hot and riding a five-game winning streak. Pittsburgh is 4-0 since letting Russell Wilson cook and the Steelers defense has held opponents to less than 20 points in four out of their last five games.
The Steelers made trades for Mike Williams and Preston Smith and both have already had an impact. Pittsburgh is only one game behind the Chiefs for the No. 1 seed in the AFC and they play the Chiefs on Christmas Day.
Falling: New York Jets
Stick a fork in the Jets, they are done. While there was some optimism that the weak AFC wildcard field left the door open for the Jets as a sneaky +20000 play last week, that door is now closed.
After New York's gross loss to the Colts last week they fell to +50000 to win the Super Bowl and only seven teams have worse odds than them. Jets fans have to be used to this by now, but, "Maybe next year."
Super Bowl 2025 Odds Best Bet: Cardinals (+6000)
We put the Cardinals in this section last week at +5000 and the odds have ballooned to +6000 despite the Cardinals having a bye week and not playing a game since then. Obviously, if I liked the Cardinals at +5000, then I like them at the even juicier price.
The Cardinals sit atop the NFC West standings which means if they hold on they'll get a home playoff game. Can any Defensive Coordinator in the league really say that they'd like to face Kyler Murray in the playoffs with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line?
The Cardinals' offense has scored 28+ points in three straight games and their defense has allowed 15 total points in their last two contests.
Arizona still has the Patriots, Panthers and two games vs. Seattle on their schedule so a friendly schedule down the stretch will help their playoff push.
Exact Super Bowl Matchup Odds
We've got Super Bowl 59 exact matchup odds out, and the top teams are exactly where you think they'd be. If I'm looking for some value off the board, I don't hate a Texans vs Lions Super Bowl bet at +2800.
| Teams | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chiefs vs 49ers | +3500 |
| Chiefs vs Lions | +600 |
| Steelers vs. Lions | +1600 |
| Steelers vs Eagles | +4000 |
| Texans vs Lions | +2800 |
| Ravens vs Lions | +900 |
Odds via BetMGM as of November 19
Odds Shark's NFL Picks & Odds
Making A Betting Strategy For Super Bowl 59
Crafting a winning Super Bowl betting strategy begins long before the first kickoff of the regular season. Assessing offseason changes, coaching adjustments, and previous performances are crucial factors.
You're likely to get the best betting value on a team if you place a bet before the season, but there are times in the regular season and even playoffs when you can still place a smart bet. Keep an eye on the odds, as they fluctuate throughout the year due to injuries, trades, and team performance. Acting swiftly when you spot favorable odds ensures maximizing potential winnings, as odds can shift dramatically over time at NFL sportsbooks.
The general key to crafting a betting strategy for Super Bowl odds is comparing a team's likelihood of winning in your mind to where they are on the odds board. Finding a team much more likely to win than the odds indicate is the smartest bet you can make. This strategy holds true for most futures odds, including NFL award odds.
Last 10 Super Bowl Champions
| Year | Team | Preseason Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 (58) | Kansas City Chiefs | +600 | Chiefs 25 - 49ers 22 |
| 2023 (57) | Kansas City Chiefs | +1000 | Chiefs 38 - Eagles 35 |
| 2022 (56) | Los Angeles Rams | +1200 | Rams 23 - Bengals 20 |
| 2021 (55) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1000 | Buccaneers 31 - Chiefs 9 |
| 2020 (54) | Kansas City Chiefs | +600 | Chiefs 31 - 49ers 20 |
| 2019 (53) | New England Patriots | +600 | Patriots 13 - Rams 3 |
| 2018 (52) | Philadelphia Eagles | +4000 | Eagles 41 - Patriots 33 |
| 2017 (51) | New England Patriots | +600 | Patriots 34 - Falcons 28 |
| 2016 (50) | Denver Broncos | +900 | Broncos 24 - Panthers 10 |
| 2015 (49) | New England Patriots | +650 | Patriots 28 - Seahawks 24 |
The Kansas City Chiefs have been a powerhouse lately, winning three of the last five Super Bowls. Led by coach Andy Reid and QB Patrick Mahomes, you can expect the Chiefs at the top of these odds as long as they're around.
The biggest recent Super Bowl underdog was the 2017 Eagles, who beat Brady’s Patriots in the final. They even did so after their No. 1 QB, Carson Wentz, went down with an injury late in the season. Backup Nick Foles took over under center and earned Super Bowl MVP honors to deliver great preseason odds value to Philly’s Super Bowl 52 bettors.
NFL Teams with the Most Super Bowls
| Team | Super Bowl Wins | Super Bowl Appearances | Last Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | 6 | 11 | 2018 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 8 | 2008 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 7 | 1994 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 8 | 1995 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 5 | 2010 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 5 | 2011 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 6 | 2024 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 5 | 1991 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 8 | 2015 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 5 | 1983 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 2 | 2012 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 2 | 2020 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 4 | 2006 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 5 | 1973 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 1 | 2009 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 1 | 1968 |
| Chicago Bears | 1 | 2 | 1985 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | 4 | 2017 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 3 | 2021 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 1 | 3 | 2013 |
The Steelers and Patriots dominate the history of the Super Bowl. They’ve appeared in 19 of the 57 Super Bowls, winning six each. There is some decent NFL parity, though, with 20 teams claiming a title all-time.
NFL Teams that have never won a Super Bowl
The 12 teams that have never won a Super Bowl are:
- Buffalo Bills (four Super Bowl appearances)
- Minnesota Vikings (4)
- Atlanta Falcons (2)
- Carolina Panthers (2)
- Cincinnati Bengals (2)
- Arizona Cardinals (1)
- Tennessee Titans (1)
- Los Angeles Chargers (1)
- Cleveland Browns (0)
- Detroit Lions (0)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (0)
- Houston Texans (0)
Super Bowl Betting Trends
Trends aren't the only thing that dictates future success, but they can give insight into some teams and details both bettors and sportsbooks often overlook. Check out these Super Bowl trends below or weekly NFL betting trends for game-to-game data.
- 8 of the last 12 Super Bowls have been won by an AFC team.
- 13 of the last 16 Super Bowl-winning QBs have been at least 27 at the time of their victory.
- No rookie QB has ever won the Super Bowl as a starter.
- Cheap out at RB: The rushing leader of nine of the last 11 Super Bowl Champs has made $2.5 million or less base salary.
- A quarterback has won Super Bowl MVP 15 of the last 23 years.
Picks by League
Super Bowl Odds FAQ
What other options are there to bet on?
Other options to bet on for Super Bowl 58 include game props, the coin toss (heads or tails), the color of the Gatorade shower, national anthem props on the Star-Spangled Banner, halftime show props, exotic props, Most Valuable Player prop odds, player props and live or in-play Super Bowl betting.
What are the odds on the Super Bowl?
Oddsmakers listed the Kansas City Chiefs as betting favorites in the opening odds to win Super Bowl 58. The Chiefs won the Super Bowl in 2023, and opened the offseason as favorites to repeat as champions again in 2024.
Can I bet on Super Bowl futures?
Yes, you can bet on the Super Bowl and a potential winning team. You’re always going to have your top contenders, especially the teams that were really good the previous year like the Chiefs. Having said that, the lines are set with the consideration of offseason roster moves and coaching changes, as well as past performances on the field.
Where can I learn how to bet on the NFL Super Bowl?
The Super Bowl is one of the biggest sporting events in the world. But action on the NFL championship game can be a little overwhelming, especially if you’re new to betting on football. Our How to Bet on the Super Bowl page will help you learn all the ins and outs to getting money down on the biggest game of the season.
