I see plenty of value in the NFC Championship betting lines, expecting the Eagles to dominate the Commanders. So, I'm packaging my best picks together for a +232 same-game parlay.
Here's my +232 SGP for Commanders vs Eagles, with all lines from Sportsbook:
- Eagles ML (-280)
- Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-250)
- Jayden Daniels OVER 222.5 Passing Yards (-114)
**Plus, IF you place this parlay on FanDuel, you'll unlock an exclusive Odds Boost to maximize your potential payout**
Leg #1: Eagles Moneyline
I think the Eagles are the best team remaining in the NFL playoffs and are far better than the Commanders.
The Eagles had 12.4 expected wins in the regular season, to the Commanders' 10.6. Philly ranked sixth in offensive EPA and second in defensive (Washington was fourth and 20th).
Plus, the Eagles beat the Commanders 26-10 with both teams healthy in Week 11. Then, Philly nearly beat them again with Kenny Pickett at QB in Week 16.
The Eagles are the clear better team in this matchup, and I'm giving them over a 80% chance to win.
Leg #2: Saquon Barkley Anytime TD
As I broke down in my Championship Weekend Anytime TD scorer picks, Saquon is probably the safest TD bet in the league right now. He scored 15 touchdowns in 17 games in the regular season and has two scores in two playoff games, so far.
The Commanders were also pretty soft against running backs this year, allowing 16 touchdowns to the position in 17 contests. In two games against Washington, Barkley had four touchdowns in the regular season.
This is probably my favorite prop of the entire weekend slate, though Nick did break down some more Commanders vs Eagles props here.
Leg #3: Jayden Daniels OVER 222.5 Passing yards
Even with an Eagles win, I think Jayden will have a pretty good passing day.
Daniels has gone OVER 222.5 passing yards in five-straight games (not including the Week 18 contest he largely rested for). In a Week 16 contest against these same Eagles, Daniels threw for 258 yards.
I also think the game script will help Daniels get over in this game. I expect the Eagles to control this contest and hop out to a lead, forcing Daniels to pass from behind. In the Commanders' last four losses, Daniels still surpassed 222.5 passing yards twice and attempted over 32 passing attempts in each contest.
The Eagles have also allowed 536 total passing yards in the first two playoff games this year (268 per contest).
